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全文翻译自E中国期刊The Carpathians' Yell文章《About the Chinese-Bulgarian NAP》
文中的事件、人物及观点与本报无关，相关材料谨供国人参考。以下是正文
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About the Chinese-Bulgarian NAP
关于中-保互不侵犯条约

There were a few people, especially from Ukraine, who hastened to label the Chinese-Bulgarian as betrayal.
有一些人，尤其是乌克兰人，急迫之中便将中-保双方的协定视为背叛。

It is easy to understand why the Bulgarians were interested in that NAP: most of their damage goes currently against the Turkish RWs, so a war with China would have been an unwelcome drain.
不难理解为什么保加利亚人对这项协议产生兴趣，因为当前阶段他们制造的大部分伤害都被投放在土耳其故土的起义战中，此时若与中国开战将会导致其并不乐见的伤害流失。

It might be more difficult for some EDEN and Terra members to see why the NAP actually helps them a lot as well. So let's look at the map and consider the other scenario: a Bulgarian - Chinese war.
也许很难使一些EDEN和TERRA国家的人相信，这份协定其实对他们非常有利。让我们审视地图，考虑另一种情形：倘若中-保开战，又会如何。

It is obvious the Bulgarians have no interest in it, so the war would have had to be started by China. And the Bulgarians would have easily closed it by RWing Northwestern Iran. Given the current imbalance between Teden on one side and ONE + Bulgaria on the other side there was no way in hell Teden can
simultaneously:
很显然保加利亚人无意于开启战端，战争毫无疑问会由中方发动。而保加利亚人可以轻而易举地通过发动西北伊朗省份的起义战切断战线。鉴于目前TEDEN方面抵御ONE+保加利亚攻击的颓势，TEDEN想要同时做到以下几点实在是分身乏术：

1) Hold Poland and Hungary from advancing to North America;
防止波兰和匈牙利推进到北美地区
2) Win the first Bulgarian-Chinese battle;
打赢中-保之间的第一仗
3) Help China in South America to reach the Atlantic and threaten Spain;
援助中国在南美的战线抵达大西洋沿岸并震慑西班牙
4) Successfully defend Northwestern Iran from an RW;
成功守住西北伊朗省份的起义战
5) Win other RWs in China, in key bonus regions (most of the EDEN Military Units depend on the Chinese bonuses - if the bonuses vanish all the EDEN firepower is severely diminished);
打赢中国境内的其他关键省份的起义战（绝大多数EDEN军团取决于中国的资源加成：一旦资源加成受损，EDEN的战力必将受到重创）
6) Keep Indonesia at bay, preventing her from invading North America together with Hungary and Poland.
阻止印尼上岸，防止其侵入北美与波-匈联军合流

Bottom line: if China would have attacked Bulgaria, the war would have been easy to close and it would have diverted the effort of Teden from other areas where the pressure of ONE is extremely high.
底线：倘若中国攻击保加利亚，战线将非常容易被切断。而TEDEN不得不从其他深受ONE压力的地区抽调兵力援助这条并不稳固的阵线。

So what next?
那么接下来会如何？

It is obvious that the sooner Turkey is back on the map, the better. The good thing is Bulgaria is craving for revenge against Ukraine.
很显然，土耳其的复国之战越早越好。所幸保加利亚正渴望对乌克兰发动报复。

Why revenge? Because the past Ukrainian governments thought it was a good idea to recover the provinces they had leased to Bulgaria right in the middle of the Bulgarian-Turkish crisis.
因何而怨？因为往届乌克兰政府在土保危机期间趁乱支持收回曾租予保加利亚的几个省份。

The situation was similar to the Bulgarian right to veto: it was Ukraine's right to want those regions back just like it was Bulgaria's right to veto Turkey's membership in EDEN. But exercising both rights at that time was idiotic.
此情此景正如保加利亚的所谓否决权限：收回被占省份是乌克兰的权利，正如保加利亚有权否决土耳其在EDEN的成员资格。但在当时当地行使这些权利都是愚蠢的。

And of course it is a blatant double-standard to believe that Bulgaria had the right to do something stupid but Ukraine doesn't have the right to be as stupid as Bulgaria. So yeah, the Bulgarians want now to "punish" Ukraine for imitating Bulgaria's irrational behavior.
当然，认定强国保加利亚有权做一些蠢事，而弱旅乌克兰则无权做与之对等的蠢事是一种双重标准。所以现在，保加利亚人想要惩罚乌克兰模仿保加利亚而作出的非理性行为。

That desire for revenge is what might bring Turkey faster on the map. If the Bulgarians invade Ukraine, they won't have any incentive to stop that war (unlike the case of a Chinese-Bulgarian war).
这种报复的欲望或许有助于土耳其版图恢复的战争。如果保加利亚进攻乌克兰，他们就没有中断战线的便利（和中保两国开战的情形大不相同）

Bulgaria is weaker than Poland, therefore she will be less able to hold onto any Ukrainian colonies, just like Poland was unable to hold onto theirs. But past experience shows the Bulgarians would try hard to do it, thus diverting damage from the Turkish RWs.
保加利亚相比波兰较弱，因此它将更难维持对乌克兰殖民地的占领，而波兰尚且不能稳固防守这些不安的省份。根据以往的经验表明，保加利亚人可能会逞能以达到目的，那样必然会从土耳其战场分流出一些伤害。

If the Bulgarians don't succumb to the desire for "revenge" then there are other two possibilities to bring Turkey back on the map.
如果保加利亚人并没有因复仇的欲望而盲动，使土耳其复国尚有其他两种可能性。

The first one would be to provoke Bulgaria into an Ukrainian-Bulgarian war by having Ukraine attack them. An Ukrainian attack would be perceived as a major slap in the face and thus it would be impossible for the Bulgarian leaders to avoid such a war even if they would want to. That of course depends on how ready is the Ukrainian public opinion for such a "suicidal" move.
其一便是由乌克兰先发制人挑衅保加利亚，发动乌保战争。乌克兰的攻击将被视为打脸一般，那样的话即便其领导人试图避免依然无法阻止这场民意战争。当然，这也取决于乌克兰的民意是否支持这样的自杀举动。

The second one would be a Romanian attack on the Black Sea Coast of Turkey. That move would be smarter later on, when the Hungarians have been evicted from France. On paper that attack would also be "suicidal" because Romania cannot successfully fight back a joint Bulgarian-Hungarian invasion. But since Romania was wiped out countless times before, one more wiping out won't make a big difference. The only thing is timing: trying to free Turkey before the Hungarians are eliminated from France would be a huge strategic mistake.
其二则是由罗马尼亚发动对土耳其故土黑海沿岸省的攻击。这样的举措在匈牙利被驱逐出法国之后更加明智，从字面推演上看这样的行动依然是自杀一般，因为罗马尼亚无法抵御匈牙利和保加利亚的联合入侵，但既然罗马尼亚已被灭国无数次，再多灭一次也无所谓嘛（😑）。一切都取决于时机，试图在匈牙利被逐出法国战线之前解放土耳其，将是巨大的战略失误。

My bet is the Bulgarian public opinion would do the work for Teden, by pushing for an invasion of Ukraine. So neither Romania nor Ukraine would have to make the first move.
我的猜想是如果由乌克兰挑拨保加利亚公共舆论将对TEDEN非常有利，那样的话乌克兰和罗马尼亚都用不着做出先手。

So let's sit back and wait calmly for the events to unfold.
所以，我们应稍安勿躁，在事态尚未明朗时静观其变。
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