[R&A] [外電]TWO對e中國的侵略

Day 1,934, 06:54 • Published in Republic of China (Taiwan) Republic of China (Taiwan) • by strangerthe

原文連結：The TWO Assault Against eChina
原作者：New Faustian Man


Poland and Russia have both proposed each other as Natural Enemies:
波蘭和俄羅斯互提NE：

http://www.erepublik.com/en/main/law/Poland/124367
http://www.erepublik.com/en/main/law/Russia/124368

The stage is now set for a likely wipe of Russia by Poland, with the latter’s objective to gain a border with China and wipe EDEN’s last bastion from the map of the New World.
現階段可能會讓波蘭滅了俄羅斯，此舉是為了讓波蘭和中國接壤並將EDEN最後的堡壘從新世界的地圖上給抹去。

The current Russian president has already publicly stated Russia ARE NOT allowing Poland passage to attack China from the north. Which means only one thing: this is a real war, prosecuted by TWO against one of the eUS's closest allies, Russia!
現任俄羅斯總統已經公開地宣告俄羅斯不允許波蘭從北邊進攻中國。這只代表著一件事情：這是一場由TWO發起、對抗e美國最親近的夥伴，俄羅斯，的真正的戰爭。

According to the Bear and Eagle Engagement, a recent treaty the eUS and eRussia signed to solidify relations, should either get attacked, the other would send military aid. Click here for the Russian version of the Bear and Eagle Engagement. Unfortunately I couldn’t find the version published through an eUS org, it would appear to have been deleted.
鑒於熊鷹協定，一紙近來由e美國與e俄羅斯簽署的盟約，一旦一方遭受攻擊，另一方會出兵協防。按此觀看俄文版熊鷹協定。不幸的是我沒辦法找到由e美國組織發布的版本，看來是遭到刪除了。

The content of this agreement basically had both nations reassert their friendship in light of the demise of CTRL, critically this meant military assistance should either come under attack. At the time it was part of an attempt to solidify bonds between the ex-TERRA powerhouses USA, Brazil and Russia by Cerb's administration.
這紙協定的內容基本上是再次聲明兩國在CTRL滅亡之際時的友誼，嚴格來說這意味著在遭受攻擊時彼此會派出軍事協助。在那時這是由Cerb所主導意圖團結前TERRA火力庫美國、巴西和俄羅斯的一部分。

The question then is: What form will this military assistance take? A US NE of Poland would be the most helpful but seems highly unlikely unfortunately.
那麼問題就來了：這軍事互助的形式是什麼？一個由美國對波蘭的NE案將會是最有幫助但看似最最最不可能的。

________________________________________


- Some Background -
- 一些背景知識 -

It should be noted the NE by Poland on Russia is probably only the sideshow. Mainland China has been a ONE/TWO goal for a long time now, mainly because its enjoyed the longest 10/10s in the history of the game, a fact that seems to smart at TWO HQ - and China is Poland's true objective.
值得注意的是由波蘭提出的對俄羅斯NE案可能只是個餘興表演。中國一直以來都是ONE/TWO的主要目標，或許是因為他是遊戲史上享有十全加乘最久的國家，TWO HQ很聰明 – 而且中國一直是波蘭的主要目標。



Consequently, TWO (with some CoT assistance) have been massing their armies in the Middle East poised for an attack on China via Pakistan. Whilst to the North Poland [it would appear] are going to force their way through Russia and attack China along its Russian border.
因此，TWO(以及一些CoT的幫助)已經在中東聚集了軍隊準備藉道巴基斯坦進攻中國。與此同時在北波蘭(這將會發生)將會由打穿一條通往中俄邊境的路進犯中國。

Whoever breaks through the Middle East, whether its Macedonia or Serbia, when combined with Poland will probably prove too much for China, no matter the military aid EDEN can give it.
不論是誰打通中東的道路，馬其頓或塞爾維亞，再加上波蘭，就算EDEN投入軍事援助也將會讓中國無法招架。


________________________________________


- How TWO Will Attack –
- TWO將會如何進攻 -

This is just informed speculation, but these are the likely flashpoints between CoTWO and EDEN as the former go after Chinese resources.
這只是根據線索所推測的，但這些地點卻是CoTWO和EDEN在前者進攻中國的途中最有可能爆發衝突的地點。



The Middle East
中東

There's a real bottleneck out in the Middle East, but it should be possible for one of the CoTWO nations stationed there to get an easy NE on China if they go through Pakistan. At the moment Fyrom look favourites in this regard, though Serbia taking the lead here makes better sense considering they're overwhelmingly stronger and present the greatest danger to EDEN forces in Asia.
中東那裡是個貨真價實的隘路，但只要CoTWO中的國家能夠打穿巴基斯坦就可以輕易的對中國提出NE。此刻，馬其頓看來是最有可能的，考量到塞爾維亞壓倒性的強勢火力及對EDEN在中東所造成的威脅程度，因此由塞爾維亞領軍將會是比較好的選擇。
________________________________________



Pakistan-India
巴基斯坦-印度

With Croatia in India ensures China won't fight alone. Whoever comes through Pakistan will most likely face a Croatian NE. This will take a lot of the heat of China, but Poland-Serbia > China-Croatia, so its only a matter of time before the superior strength of the former starts to make itself count.
有克羅埃西亞的陪伴確保中國將不會獨自奮戰。不論是誰經過巴基斯坦都將遭遇克羅埃西亞的NE。這將有效的幫助中國分散火力，但是波蘭-塞爾維亞大於中國-克羅埃西亞，所以前者克服後者只是時間上的問題。

________________________________________



Russia
俄羅斯

Poland will have to get through Russia to attack China, which even for Poland will be no easy feat, especially if we take into account how far Polish forces are already extended at present. Poland are an undisputed superpower but can even they hold down Sweden, Netherlands, Germany, France, Finland AND Russia and hope to seriously threaten China!? I doubt it.
波蘭必須打穿俄羅斯以攻擊中國，就算對波蘭來說這也不是件簡單的事情，特別是考慮到現在波蘭的軍力是分部多麼的廣。波蘭決不是愚蠢的超級強權，但他們能夠同時鎮壓瑞典、荷蘭、德國、法國、芬蘭以及俄羅斯並強力威脅中國嗎!?我很懷疑。

I think a lot of the success of TWO's attack on China will be decided by the eUS and eBrazil. CoT ultimately have no reason to support this war as they can get nothing out of it but a symbolic victory over EDEN. The question then is: will the eUS support China and fight against CoT allies? The alternative is fighting against China in support of Serbia/TWO, which I still can't see tbh. Its been suggested on more than one occasion that Brazil are headed for TWO, if there is any truth in this we're about to discover it.
我想TWO能否成功進攻中國的很大一部分將會由e美國及e巴西決定。CoT絕對沒有理由支持這場戰爭，因為他們除了形式上對EDEN的勝利之外得不到任何的東西。問題是：e美國會支持中國對抗CoT盟友嗎？反之就得支持塞爾維亞/TWO對抗中國，說實話直到現在我還沒見過。巴西不只一次傳出風聲將加入TWO，我們將拭目以待這則流言的真實性。

________________________________________


- Repercussions -
- 影響 -

If TWO are able to take China, they have the military might that could see a longtime suppression of China, allowing them to grow fat on resource-rich Chinese regions, and in the process well and truly bridle EDEN from ever being any kind of threat again. No China = No EDEN, simple as that. In the long run Hungary and Spain could easily replace Serbia-Poland in suppressing Western European countries, whilst the latter move their capitals to the Far East, at which point they'll be almost impossible to budge.
如果TWO能成功的進犯中國，他們的軍隊足以長期壓制中國，使他們能在中國富饒的資源領土上養肥自己，在這過程中也將使EDEN再也成不了氣候。沒有中國等於沒有EDEN，就這麼簡單。長期下來匈牙利及西班牙將會輕易地取代塞爾維亞-波蘭鎮壓在西歐的國家，而後者則將首都遷往遠東，那時候他們將難以撼動。

Its in the eUS's strategic interests to defend China from TWO. TWO are the ONLY alliance that present a genuine threat to the eUS and its original territories, and allowing TWO to get a foothold in Asia will really unsettle the region and allow them to threaten the eUS's West Coast at will. Ultimately this might see Hungary-Spain-Slovenia stationed permanently across the Atlantic in France and Spain, and Serbia and Poland sitting in eChina, just a couple regions away from threatening the eUS's Pacific coastline.
對e美國來說協助中國抵抗TWO是比較有利的。TWO是現在唯一名副其實會對e美國及其原始領土造成威脅的聯盟，讓TWO在亞洲建立據點將會使該區混亂並讓他們得以威脅e美國西岸。最終的局面可能是匈牙利-西班牙-斯洛維尼亞長期的站穩大西洋彼岸的法國，而西班牙、塞爾維亞、波蘭則占據e中國，距離e美國太平洋沿岸僅幾個領土之遙。

Should eChina fall the eUS will be literally surrounde😛 the last bastion of defiance against TWO.
一旦e中國滅亡，e美國將真正的被包圍：抵抗TWO的最後碉堡。

War is coming – whichever side the eUS decides to support may just determine the outcome.
戰爭來臨 – 不論是哪方，e美國的決定將左右最後的戰局。


NFM
o7