原文連結：The TWO Assault Against eChina
原作者：New Faustian Man
Poland and Russia have both proposed each other as Natural Enemies:
The stage is now set for a likely wipe of Russia by Poland, with the latter’s objective to gain a border with China and wipe EDEN’s last bastion from the map of the New World.
The current Russian president has already publicly stated Russia ARE NOT allowing Poland passage to attack China from the north. Which means only one thing: this is a real war, prosecuted by TWO against one of the eUS's closest allies, Russia!
According to the Bear and Eagle Engagement, a recent treaty the eUS and eRussia signed to solidify relations, should either get attacked, the other would send military aid. Click here for the Russian version of the Bear and Eagle Engagement. Unfortunately I couldn’t find the version published through an eUS org, it would appear to have been deleted.
The content of this agreement basically had both nations reassert their friendship in light of the demise of CTRL, critically this meant military assistance should either come under attack. At the time it was part of an attempt to solidify bonds between the ex-TERRA powerhouses USA, Brazil and Russia by Cerb's administration.
The question then is: What form will this military assistance take? A US NE of Poland would be the most helpful but seems highly unlikely unfortunately.
- Some Background -
- 一些背景知識 -
It should be noted the NE by Poland on Russia is probably only the sideshow. Mainland China has been a ONE/TWO goal for a long time now, mainly because its enjoyed the longest 10/10s in the history of the game, a fact that seems to smart at TWO HQ - and China is Poland's true objective.
值得注意的是由波蘭提出的對俄羅斯NE案可能只是個餘興表演。中國一直以來都是ONE/TWO的主要目標，或許是因為他是遊戲史上享有十全加乘最久的國家，TWO HQ很聰明 – 而且中國一直是波蘭的主要目標。
Consequently, TWO (with some CoT assistance) have been massing their armies in the Middle East poised for an attack on China via Pakistan. Whilst to the North Poland [it would appear] are going to force their way through Russia and attack China along its Russian border.
Whoever breaks through the Middle East, whether its Macedonia or Serbia, when combined with Poland will probably prove too much for China, no matter the military aid EDEN can give it.
- How TWO Will Attack –
- TWO將會如何進攻 -
This is just informed speculation, but these are the likely flashpoints between CoTWO and EDEN as the former go after Chinese resources.
The Middle East
There's a real bottleneck out in the Middle East, but it should be possible for one of the CoTWO nations stationed there to get an easy NE on China if they go through Pakistan. At the moment Fyrom look favourites in this regard, though Serbia taking the lead here makes better sense considering they're overwhelmingly stronger and present the greatest danger to EDEN forces in Asia.
With Croatia in India ensures China won't fight alone. Whoever comes through Pakistan will most likely face a Croatian NE. This will take a lot of the heat of China, but Poland-Serbia > China-Croatia, so its only a matter of time before the superior strength of the former starts to make itself count.
Poland will have to get through Russia to attack China, which even for Poland will be no easy feat, especially if we take into account how far Polish forces are already extended at present. Poland are an undisputed superpower but can even they hold down Sweden, Netherlands, Germany, France, Finland AND Russia and hope to seriously threaten China!? I doubt it.
I think a lot of the success of TWO's attack on China will be decided by the eUS and eBrazil. CoT ultimately have no reason to support this war as they can get nothing out of it but a symbolic victory over EDEN. The question then is: will the eUS support China and fight against CoT allies? The alternative is fighting against China in support of Serbia/TWO, which I still can't see tbh. Its been suggested on more than one occasion that Brazil are headed for TWO, if there is any truth in this we're about to discover it.
- Repercussions -
- 影響 -
If TWO are able to take China, they have the military might that could see a longtime suppression of China, allowing them to grow fat on resource-rich Chinese regions, and in the process well and truly bridle EDEN from ever being any kind of threat again. No China = No EDEN, simple as that. In the long run Hungary and Spain could easily replace Serbia-Poland in suppressing Western European countries, whilst the latter move their capitals to the Far East, at which point they'll be almost impossible to budge.
Its in the eUS's strategic interests to defend China from TWO. TWO are the ONLY alliance that present a genuine threat to the eUS and its original territories, and allowing TWO to get a foothold in Asia will really unsettle the region and allow them to threaten the eUS's West Coast at will. Ultimately this might see Hungary-Spain-Slovenia stationed permanently across the Atlantic in France and Spain, and Serbia and Poland sitting in eChina, just a couple regions away from threatening the eUS's Pacific coastline.
Should eChina fall the eUS will be literally surrounded: the last bastion of defiance against TWO.
War is coming – whichever side the eUS decides to support may just determine the outcome.
戰爭來臨 – 不論是哪方，e美國的決定將左右最後的戰局。
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