May Congress: Winners and Losers [WGC]

Day 553, 13:53 Published in Canada Canada by Alias Vision
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CSD win big but still fall short of a majority in Congress

The headlines do not lie, or do they? With a gain of 5 seats, almost all of them at the expense of the CEP, supporters of the CSD should be ecstatic. With a clear majority they now have momentum and can start putting pressure on the Bruck administration to further their own agenda.

A closer look at the numbers however tells a slightly different story. This storyline could read "CEP broadens their support, now the number one choice of more Canadians". Indeed, in an election where all five main parties increased their vote counts, the CEP increased their vote share by an impressive 6.1%.

Share of popular support for May.

CEP 31.5% [+6.1]
CSD 29% [-6]
PNQ 13.6% [+4.2]
PPC 13.3% [-1.9]
CPP 12.6% [-2.3]

Distribution of Congress seats for May

CSD 14 [35%, +5]
CEP 9 [22.5%, -4]
CPP 8 [20%, -1]
PNQ 5 [12.5%, -1]
PPC 4 [10%, +1]

Strategic voting.

Without needing to go in great depth with the individual ridings, it's clear that a lot of strategic voting took place. In that game the CSD and CPP appear to have been the most proficient securing 55% of the congressional seats with only 41.5% of the popular vote. By the same measure the CEP was never capable to mobilize its base and the fact that they provided such a large list of candidates often split their votes. The PNQ has to be seen as the big surprise here as they manage to both increase their voting share and seat count, the only party to do so. The PNQ is no longer a Quebec only party.

Highest voter turnout.

The Hungarians were not knocking at the door this month but the nation still saw its greatest level of participation. There was a 48% increase from April to May and a 28% increase over the high of March.

Part of the reason can be attributed the collapse of the Romanian empire and the advent of training wars from home. These two factors made it so a majority of CAF members remained in Canada. This is true even with the emergency that occurred in Spain and the sudden need there for non-PEACE votes. One would expect the CAF to support the CEP in greater proportion to other parties and that indeed appears to have been the case. Unfortunately a soldier's main need is access to a high Q hospital and that meant Ontario. Once more the numbers appear to confirm this with the CEP garnering 39.4% support to the CSD's 25.1%.

Some continuity, more change.

19 Congressmen were re-elected, the best showing in the past three contests. This is especially important at a time when the power structures on the international stage are turned upside down and Canada finds themselves caught in no-mans land. Of the new members joining the house some, like Cesar Augustus, Joey Phillips, John Wilkmot and Kelly Mahoney, are veterans and returning officials who will not require any transition period.

There were some surprises too. In British Columbia heavyweight Derakor just missed out and media superstar Dade Pendwyn did not qualify. Battleground Manitoba saw minister of finance Alexander Rearden only garnering 2 votes which was one more than Leps Dissim, a very active congressman, received in New Brunswick. Derek Harland could gain no traction in Newfoundland and Labrador and Volsung was edged out in Yukon.

Atlantic Provinces.

The East was very evenly split between all parties. All five main parties managed to elect at least one congressman with the CSD and CEP tying for the popular vote. The PPC had been shutout last term so this was a nice return for them.

Quebec.

Perennial favorites Miloslav, Marcchelala and Inochimizu all made the cut with ease. The PNQ showed they were masters of Quebec with 51.2% of votes cast. It will be interesting to see if the other parties ever manage to resonate more in La Belle Province.

Ontario.

A surprise for yours truly was the establishment of a new record for individual votes in a Congress election in Canada. Alias Vision got 88 votes, seemingly picking up most of the support lost by the CSD by the retirement of Cleomynestra Cathak. This also coincided with the major boost to CEP support in the province, up to 39.4%.

The Prairies.

The Prairies is now firmly CSD country. By picking up 2 seats at the direct expense of the CEP and 38.3% of the popular vote, none are really close to contend. The PNQ showed their last election results were no fluke by maintaining one seat here.

British Columbia.

One of the areas where increased CEP support provided dividends. The CSD led the way with two seats and 42.9% but the party of President Bruck sits second with 2 seats and 35.7%.

The North.

Another strong CSD bloc, this time sharing the power with the CPP. This was most significant as the CEP lost 3 seats here and saw their share of the electorate diminish by 21.8%.

Well done to all parties and candidates. You have shown this election that politics are alive and well in Canada.

Citizens of Canada, this was a presentation of your May Congress.

Read Marcchelala's Quick News account of the election here.

*The above was an article from a Member Paper of the Writers' Guild of Canada*