Is Brazil Leaving Phoenix? What Does It Mean for South America?

Day 1,110, 00:25 • Published in Bolivia Bolivia • by Arjay Phoenician
TL😉R ALERT: This article concerns Brazil’s abrupt change in foreign affairs. With a potential MPP with the United States in the near future, giving the Canary Islands back to Spain, and a peace treaty with Spain on the way, it leads one to speculate on what Brazil intends to do. Certainly it will mean a major shift in the supealliance paradigm, but it will mean an even larger shake-up in South American politics.



As I write this article, the MPP between the United States and Brazil is up for vote, and it looks like it will pass on both sides:

http://www.erepublik.com/en/Brazil/law/62161
http://www.erepublik.com/en/USA/law/62160

Simultaneously, the president of Brazil, Vigoncalves86, proposed a peace treaty with Spain:

http://www.erepublik.com/en/Brazil/law/62159

On top of this, there is a resistance war going on in the Canary Islands, with the Spanish resistance clearly leading, almost as if Brazil isn’t lifting a finger to defend their holdings, as if they’re giving the Canary Islands back to Spain:

http://www.erepublik.com/en/wars/show/3277

This is confirmed by today’s bulletin from the Brazilian Minister of Defense, Marcelux, telling the people of Brazil to not fight in the Canary Islands, but rather, to fight on the Indonesian side in the battle in Queensland against Australia. Loose translation:

We are now returning the Canary Islands through resistance war, while our Congress accepts a peace treaty to end the war with Spain. Brazilians, do not fight. Fight for the resistance if necessary. (Source: http://www.erepublik.com/en/article/-md-ordens-militares-dia-1109-queensland-e-sobre-canary-islands-1592352/1/20)

Do these five links, as well as the quote from the Brazilian Minister of Defense, lead us to believe Brazil is leaving Phoenix, or, if nothing else, becoming much friendlier with EDEN powerhouse nations like the US and Spain?

If you go to the US Forum, they’re cheering this move as the death of Phoenix, a significant shift in the superalliance paradigm. eRepublik law forbids me from quoting exterior sources, but you’re invited to see for yourself at http://eusforum.com/index.php?topic=32012.0.

If nothing else, this signals a seismic shift in South American politics.

Last night I wrote about the necessity for EDEN to wage a sustained war campaign in South America, and I listed various reasons for it. With Brazil, the biggest country on the continent with the most ferocious war machine, potentially leaving Phoenix and becoming buddies with the US and Spain, such a vision may be a lot closer than we would have imagined just one day ago.

As of this minute, South America is almost entirely Phoenix turf, and has been for at least a year and a half, since I arrived in this world. When the MPP’s and treaties are finalized, Phoenix’s influence on the continent will plummet. That has to be a given. Brazil only has one real rival in South America, that’s Argentina, and Argentina is busy sinking its teeth into the small and struggling Bolivia.

That’s going to be a real clash, if it happens, if and when Brazil and Argentina go toe to toe for supremacy of South America. Argentina has always been second banana on the continent, there’s always been a general low tension between the two countries.

It may mean real hope for those of us looking for something to hang our hats on in Bolivia, where our MPP network is tilted EDEN. With Brazil and Bolivia on the same team, it might finally mean a chance to recuperate and build the country, once and for all, with some semblance of real protection. I have to assume that, while Brazil will be busy fighting in battles with the US and Spain by way of the MPP’s, they’re going to be more concerned with their own backyard.

Brazil has helped Bolivia in the past. I remember when I was here the first time, and Argentina invaded. It was Brazil who primarily came to our defense, and because they came through for us, we successfully defended the Bolivian Altiplano on that day. With Brazil and Bolivia being generally on the same side, it may mean more help is on the way. That’s something for leaders in the two countries to work out.

It’s similar to what we experienced in South Korea about six months ago, when Japan invaded and threatened to wipe us off the map. It took an MPP with a powerful neighbor like Russia to allow us to push the Japanese out and to rebuild our country in our own image. If the parallel is accurate, I hope Bolivian President talomedina, in his final days in office, can secure such an MPP with Brazil, it will definitely turn the tide in our war with Argentina.

It’s going to be interesting what other South American countries follow Brazil’s lead. When Brazil sneezes, the rest of South America gets a cold. When the five new South American countries came on the map last spring, four joined PEACE without batting an eye, primarily because everyone else in South America was with PEACE. Bolivia was the lone exception, plotting its own course. With Brazil potentially joining EDEN, are Colombia, Venezuela, Chile, going to jump ship as well, knowing power on the continent has shifted? Are Paraguay and Uruguay going to join EDEN because they fear Brazil more than they fear Argentina?

I don’t agree with the gloating in America in that Brazil’s change of course is the death knell for Phoenix. The lives of superalliances go in cycles in this game. It was exactly this time last year that PEACE, once deemed invincible and on the brink of real world domination, fractured, with its more bellicose members forming Phoenix. Superalliances take their turns dominating one another, generally Phoenix rules in the summer, EDEN in the winter. ATLANTIS disintegrated just before I arrived in this world, but you soon had EDEN to take its place, the same key players at the helm. If it is true, and Brazil is indeed leaving Phoenix, it does indeed mean a major shift in the superalliance paradigm, and for the time being, EDEN would be the stronger of the two, but it doesn’t mean Phoenix is dead, not by a longshot.

It does mean, however, that South America can no longer be considered completely Phoenix turf anymore. If the MPP’s and the treaty go through, and Brazil enters EDEN’s sphere of influence, it will transform South America significantly. For Bolivians, it will mean a real partner in defense, and it will mean Argentina will be unable to pull the same crap over and over without repercussions. Brazil has long been the most powerful country on the continent; every other country will have to change its policies because of what Brazil has done today.

And I consider that a good thing.