Can the Socialists and Sheep deliver on their promises?
With the American Military Party falling out of the Top 5, the Black Sheep have re-entered Congress. This has been the moment that the BSP and SFP have been waiting for, as they assume that it will give them the votes to lower the work tax.
Even going so far as to promise a time frame.
But the question is, do they actually have the votes they think they do?
With the October 25th elections, the United States had 71 regions, a staggering amount and more than we have ever had before. This meant that the rosters of candidates were pushed to their limits, with candidates far down the ballot actually getting in. This could be the difference in the forthcoming Work Tax vote, as these players will be thrust into a volatile and highly politicized vote.
The Federalists returned to the top of the Congressional pecking order, with 24.03% of the vote. This percentage got them 17 Congressmen. Of those 17, 16 have signed in, acquiring Congressional Access in the process. The 1 outsider, does not appear to have a eUS Forums account, effectively limiting the Federalist Caucus at 16 members.
The United States Workers Party slipped a bit in the vote, earning 23.54% and 15 Congressmen. Some of that slip can likely be attributed to the small amount of candidates the USWP had on their ballot. With the percentage they pulled, they should have also received 17 Congressmen, but only had 15 people on the ballot. This resulted in 3 relative unknowns getting into Congress. Of those 3, 1 has acquired access to Congress, 1 has not accessed their eUS Forums account in a year and 1 does not appear to have a forum account. The small number of candidates effectively cost the USWP 4 seats. They have 13 signed-in members of Congress.
The Black Sheep Party returned to Congress and tallied 19.97% of the vote, earning 14 seats in Congress. Of those 14, 1 did not sign in. It does not appear that they have a eUS forums account either. This costs BSP 1 seat, putting them effectively at 13 spots.
The Socialist Freedom Party fell far, without the votes from BSP. They secured 18.02% of the vote and captured 13 seats. This is the first time that SFP has stood alone in Congress, and it gives a better representation of their voting power. Of those 13 seats, 1 went to the Old F*** party, and 1 is the always enigmatic rainy sunday, who was AMP earlier in the year, a 6th party member last month, and is currently in the Federalist party. While none of those things cost the SFP votes, it does mean that they can’t count on 13 votes when it comes to the work tax vote. However, I do not speak for rainy, so we’ll consider SFP at 13 votes.
We the People rounded out the Top 5, winning 14.45% of the vote, and 10 seats in the process. 9 of 10 have signed in. The one outsider does in fact have a eUS Forums account, but has not yet made a single post. This puts WTP at 9 votes.
It matters how many Congressmen are able to vote on the forums, because the vote will be held there. Normally, the vote would be held in game, but with the dictator in place, the vote will have to be held on the forums, and the dictator will vote according to Congress’ wishes.
Feds - 16 votes
USWP - 13 votes
BSP - 13 votes
SFP - 13 votes
WTP - 9 votes
How the parties vote
BSP and SFP will vote as a block, with no independent thinking (save rainy). That will put 26 votes in favor of lowering the work tax.
USWP and the Federalists will almost certainly vote as a block against lowering the work tax. However, their voting as a block is much less certain than BSP/SFP, as Feds and USWP don’t exert as tight control, nor have as much of a hive mind mentality that the other two do. This will put roughly 29 votes against lowering the work tax.
At this point, we turn our attention to WTP. The anti-tax crowd is going to need this party to break heavily in their favor, in order to fulfill their promise. Looking at their roster, I think it’s going to be close. WTP has some elements of populism, though they are usually evenly matched with elites. But even a 50/50 split will be enough to hold the work tax at 15%. I think it will go 5-4.
Final Vote - 34-30 against lowering the tax.
The massive number of Congressmen this term makes this a much more interesting vote. There are currently 5 members of Congress that cannot vote, and another 2 that should be there but are not due to USWP’s shallow roster. There are people in Congress that are not experienced with our political system, and could potentially have a massive impact on the vote. Either by being easily swayed, bribed, threatened, or simply not showing up.
Those 5 members not having access is huge. With the vote as tight as it is already, it will be interesting to see if those Congressmen are able to make it to Meta-Congress.
The slight freedom that the Federalists and USWP allow their candidates could also swing the vote. Even just a few defections, will turn the vote against what those parties want. On the other hand, do not expect to see a single BSP or SFP vote to keep the tax where it is. There will be no dissenting from them.
I think it will be a very tight vote. Expect many people to edit their vote, as time progresses. Particularly those that vote Abstain, or those that vote against the majority of their party.