APS: Left outpaces Right as AAP hits 2K, New CPI
Day 727, 21:51
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Published in USA 
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by
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by Erik Victor
[size=12pt]Party Popularity Tracking[/size]
The American Poll Service (APS) has been continuously tracking Top 5 political party registration since May 2009. In the time from May to November, some very profound changes have occurred; the AAP claimed the USWP's long-held number one spot in late September, and has grown almost none stop since early September. But the most notable happening on the Top 5 list in recent days is the Federalist Party's (Feds) rise to the number five spot. The UIP, the perennial number five party, was stripped of its Top 5 privileges in very early November when the Feds became the first "sixth party" of V1 to rise into the Top 5 ranks, previously dominated by the USWP, Libertarians, CVP, AAP, and UIP.
The UIP, the eUS's only major moderate party, actually moved into the number four position for a short time in August, after the CVP entered membership free-fall as a result of the Ajay Bruno primary fiasco and subsequent split in the party. The CVP recovered in early September, and the UIP simply couldn't keep up in the post-war environment. APS will continue to track the UIP's membership numbers for now, as you will see on the graph below; where the UIP's light blue line turns into whitish-blue is the point at which they lost their spot in the Top 5 to the Feds (represent by the purple line).
[size=12pt]In Brief:[/size]
AAP: The AAP, once a fifth-ranked party that wielded little power until Uncle Sam was elected president, has become the powerhouse of left-wing politics in America. Recruiting for the AAP began to intensify in early July, shortly before the world war broke out. As a result of the war, all major parties' membership numbers decreased drastically. The AAP, unlike the other four, was able to bounce back and return to pre-war membership levels within two weeks in September. Their recruitment drive resulted in something previously thought to be impossible: the dethroning of the USWP as the number one US political party. On September 20, the AAP surpassed the USWP, on November 15, it hit the 2,000 mark for party membership. The AAP is now fast approaching the record for party membership - 2,189 - set by the USWP back in June. This feat should be achieved within a week given current trends. THE SKINNY: The AAP is riding high, and is unlikely to suffer any kind of catastrophic collapse without an AAP administration in power, 3,000 members may not be that far off.
USWP: The USWP, an unstoppable force during the Scrabman administration, began what would become and epic slide on July 26, shortly after the war with PEACE had begun. The Richardson administration was admonished by the public for its poor handling of the war effort, and voters showed their frustration on August 5 when they elected the first non-USWP president in over four months. The USWP finally stabilized in mid-September, but still has a long recovery ahead of it. Current membership is only about half of what it was four months ago. THE SKINNY: The USWP should forget about catching up with the AAP, it now needs to worry about the Libertarians, who are getting closer in the rear view mirror as each week goes by. Inconsistency in recruitment over the past two months continues to be a problem.
Libertarian Party: The Libertarians were the second-hardest hit party, after the USWP, as a result of the war with PEACE that began in July. Their membership slide was dramatic enough to allow the AAP to surpass it by the beginning of September. Luckily for the Libs, their recruitment in the aftermath of the war has been mostly consistent, and they should be back at pre-war numbers within a few weeks. THE SKINNY: The Libertarians were lucky enough to rebound better than most parties after the war, and are now in a position to steal the number two spot from the USWP within two months - if they can keep the numbers steady.
CvP: The Conservative Party saw membership numbers drop soon after Desertfalcon decided to vacate his position as PP in June, and recruitment remained stagnant until July. The Ajay Bruno POTUS primary fiasco, which led to Mr. Bruno forming a new "CVP," stole away scores of Conservatives, and caused a harder-than-expected fall when the war with PEACE went all-out. Despite falling into the fifth spot for a short time, the CvP was one of the fastest-recovering parties in September. The fast-paced increase in membership was short-lived, however, and recruitment went flat for most of October. The CvP has seen moderate increases in November, but now has to worry about the hot shot Feds, who took the fifth spot from the UIP early this month. THE SKINNY: The CvP has been experiencing membership troubles for far longer than most other Top 5 parties, and is running the risk of losing not only the number four spot, but its top 5 status altogether.
Federalist Party: The Feds, not included in APS party membership studies until their rise to the number five slot this month, have shown a remarkable ability to grow. And not just grow, but grow fast. The Federalist Party joined the Libertarian Party and the CvP as the third right-leaning party in the Top 5, but massive AAP gains have allowed the left-wing to sustain its lead in terms of ideological membership. Since the APS has not been tracking the Feds for long, it is difficult to tell whether they are here in the Top 5 to stay or if the UIP will reclaim its spot next month. THE SKINNY: The Federalist Party is in a prime position to become the second most popular right-wing party, but only if it can solidify current gains and continue to recruit heavily.
UIP: It's not that we didn't expect the UIP to fall out of the Top 5 someday, it's just that we didn't see it coming so soon. For so long the Federalist Party was somewhat close, but seemingly out of reach. The UIP fell victim to its own inability make substantial additions to its core members throughout 2009. The UIP has yet to recover the drop in membership that all parties sustained during the war with PEACE, but surprisingly did see a slight gain in membership over the past week. Don't count the UIP out of contention just yet. THE SKINNY: The UIP has long had problems with recruitment, and a substantial drop in membership during the war was irrevocable, proving to be the final blow that caused the party to drop out of the Top 5. Even moderate gains could put the UIP back in the Top 5, but that seems unlikely considering membership trends in the past year.
[size=12pt]Top 5 Party Membership By Political Party[/size]
[size=12pt]Top 5 Party Membership By Political Ideology[/size]
[size=12pt]Consumer Price Index (CPI)[/size]
At the beginning of October 2009, the APS began tracking CPI, or the Consumer Price Index. The CPI is a "basket" of basic Q1 goods that citizens needs, such as Food, Weapon, Gift, and Moving Ticket. The price of each good is recorded and totaled, helping to give the trend of how (up, down) prices are currently moving in the US for basic goods.
[size=12pt]CPI Overall[/size]
[size=12pt]CPI, Broken Down By Category[/size]
The American Poll Service (APS) has been continuously tracking Top 5 political party registration since May 2009. In the time from May to November, some very profound changes have occurred; the AAP claimed the USWP's long-held number one spot in late September, and has grown almost none stop since early September. But the most notable happening on the Top 5 list in recent days is the Federalist Party's (Feds) rise to the number five spot. The UIP, the perennial number five party, was stripped of its Top 5 privileges in very early November when the Feds became the first "sixth party" of V1 to rise into the Top 5 ranks, previously dominated by the USWP, Libertarians, CVP, AAP, and UIP.
The UIP, the eUS's only major moderate party, actually moved into the number four position for a short time in August, after the CVP entered membership free-fall as a result of the Ajay Bruno primary fiasco and subsequent split in the party. The CVP recovered in early September, and the UIP simply couldn't keep up in the post-war environment. APS will continue to track the UIP's membership numbers for now, as you will see on the graph below; where the UIP's light blue line turns into whitish-blue is the point at which they lost their spot in the Top 5 to the Feds (represent by the purple line).
[size=12pt]In Brief:[/size]
AAP: The AAP, once a fifth-ranked party that wielded little power until Uncle Sam was elected president, has become the powerhouse of left-wing politics in America. Recruiting for the AAP began to intensify in early July, shortly before the world war broke out. As a result of the war, all major parties' membership numbers decreased drastically. The AAP, unlike the other four, was able to bounce back and return to pre-war membership levels within two weeks in September. Their recruitment drive resulted in something previously thought to be impossible: the dethroning of the USWP as the number one US political party. On September 20, the AAP surpassed the USWP, on November 15, it hit the 2,000 mark for party membership. The AAP is now fast approaching the record for party membership - 2,189 - set by the USWP back in June. This feat should be achieved within a week given current trends. THE SKINNY: The AAP is riding high, and is unlikely to suffer any kind of catastrophic collapse without an AAP administration in power, 3,000 members may not be that far off.
USWP: The USWP, an unstoppable force during the Scrabman administration, began what would become and epic slide on July 26, shortly after the war with PEACE had begun. The Richardson administration was admonished by the public for its poor handling of the war effort, and voters showed their frustration on August 5 when they elected the first non-USWP president in over four months. The USWP finally stabilized in mid-September, but still has a long recovery ahead of it. Current membership is only about half of what it was four months ago. THE SKINNY: The USWP should forget about catching up with the AAP, it now needs to worry about the Libertarians, who are getting closer in the rear view mirror as each week goes by. Inconsistency in recruitment over the past two months continues to be a problem.
Libertarian Party: The Libertarians were the second-hardest hit party, after the USWP, as a result of the war with PEACE that began in July. Their membership slide was dramatic enough to allow the AAP to surpass it by the beginning of September. Luckily for the Libs, their recruitment in the aftermath of the war has been mostly consistent, and they should be back at pre-war numbers within a few weeks. THE SKINNY: The Libertarians were lucky enough to rebound better than most parties after the war, and are now in a position to steal the number two spot from the USWP within two months - if they can keep the numbers steady.
CvP: The Conservative Party saw membership numbers drop soon after Desertfalcon decided to vacate his position as PP in June, and recruitment remained stagnant until July. The Ajay Bruno POTUS primary fiasco, which led to Mr. Bruno forming a new "CVP," stole away scores of Conservatives, and caused a harder-than-expected fall when the war with PEACE went all-out. Despite falling into the fifth spot for a short time, the CvP was one of the fastest-recovering parties in September. The fast-paced increase in membership was short-lived, however, and recruitment went flat for most of October. The CvP has seen moderate increases in November, but now has to worry about the hot shot Feds, who took the fifth spot from the UIP early this month. THE SKINNY: The CvP has been experiencing membership troubles for far longer than most other Top 5 parties, and is running the risk of losing not only the number four spot, but its top 5 status altogether.
Federalist Party: The Feds, not included in APS party membership studies until their rise to the number five slot this month, have shown a remarkable ability to grow. And not just grow, but grow fast. The Federalist Party joined the Libertarian Party and the CvP as the third right-leaning party in the Top 5, but massive AAP gains have allowed the left-wing to sustain its lead in terms of ideological membership. Since the APS has not been tracking the Feds for long, it is difficult to tell whether they are here in the Top 5 to stay or if the UIP will reclaim its spot next month. THE SKINNY: The Federalist Party is in a prime position to become the second most popular right-wing party, but only if it can solidify current gains and continue to recruit heavily.
UIP: It's not that we didn't expect the UIP to fall out of the Top 5 someday, it's just that we didn't see it coming so soon. For so long the Federalist Party was somewhat close, but seemingly out of reach. The UIP fell victim to its own inability make substantial additions to its core members throughout 2009. The UIP has yet to recover the drop in membership that all parties sustained during the war with PEACE, but surprisingly did see a slight gain in membership over the past week. Don't count the UIP out of contention just yet. THE SKINNY: The UIP has long had problems with recruitment, and a substantial drop in membership during the war was irrevocable, proving to be the final blow that caused the party to drop out of the Top 5. Even moderate gains could put the UIP back in the Top 5, but that seems unlikely considering membership trends in the past year.
[size=12pt]Top 5 Party Membership By Political Party[/size]
[size=12pt]Top 5 Party Membership By Political Ideology[/size]
[size=12pt]Consumer Price Index (CPI)[/size]
At the beginning of October 2009, the APS began tracking CPI, or the Consumer Price Index. The CPI is a "basket" of basic Q1 goods that citizens needs, such as Food, Weapon, Gift, and Moving Ticket. The price of each good is recorded and totaled, helping to give the trend of how (up, down) prices are currently moving in the US for basic goods.
[size=12pt]CPI Overall[/size]
[size=12pt]CPI, Broken Down By Category[/size]
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Comments
GREAT article! v+s
Always love your articles, Erik.
Well done as usual Erik
I've always loved these APS articles, they're very interesting to read and are often interpreted quite intellectually, especially without bias. I know they don't really shed the CvP in the best light, but then again the truth always hurts 😉 I'm glad we have something to look at for improvement. Keep up the good work Evic 😃