A few brief notes on probability:
The eight sided dice
Say you have an eight sided dice. The dice is weighted so every side has an equal probability of showing up.
The odds of any particular side showing up is one in eight.
The combi bet
Now say you have three of these dice. You roll all 3. The chances of three of the same side showing up (4-4-4 or 5-5-5 or whatever) is 1 in 8^3 or 1 in 512.
Now say instead you have just one dice, but you keep rolling it. The chance of rolling a 5 is 1/8 each time, so you should expect on average to roll a 5 once for every eight attempts, though of course you could roll it a million times and never actually get a 5.
This is how the jackpot would work in the event it is an even chance of landing on it each time. It isn't a 1/512 chance.
To put it more simply, take coin flipping. You can flip a coin a hundred times, and the chance of getting a hundred heads in a row is equal to the chance of getting any other combination. Because each time it is a 50/50 chance.
This belief that the odds "stack" is one of the most common misconceptions in probability.
Sure, the chance of the first three goes you have being jackpots seems very low, but as you are effectively tossing dice or flipping a coin each time, the chance is equal to you hitting it with any other combination (if the "toss" is unweighted). Meaning you would normally get all three jackpots with an average frequency of 24 attempts, which is about 51.6 gold.
Admins don't believe in maths
Unfortunately it is highly unlikely all of the different outcomes have equal "weight". Having played the wheel itself I got the first jackpot on my third attempt, the second on my twentieth or so roll. I guess that the jackpot becomes increasingly harder to "hit" as you click. If I was the admin I'd make the median payout for all three at around the 350-400g mark. Most people would give up before then, but that way enough people would succeed to draw others in.
To be honest I'm not sure whether it's random at all, the whole thing could be scripted.
But anyway it just annoys me when people start talking about independent probabilities like they're conditional probabilities.
Ps. it's been 10 years (gosh really!) since I've had to do any maths in a serious way, so if I've made any mistakes lemme know and I'll fix em.
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