Suppose There Was A Babyboom And Nobody Realized
Skalg von Tuari
So yeah, it's been a while. I could give tons of reaons for not writing for so long, but actually, its my life, so it's not your buisness. The only relevant thing: I tried to collect data yesterday, then my laptop kinda...burned. Literally. Now I have a Computer again, but about 1/3 of my data is not from yesterday but today. Just in case someone was gonna sue me.
Since it's been so long, I'll give you a lot of data.
edit: on the left is the UK, I cba to change the graph again
So, there you go, your fine and pretty overview. Let's get to the real buisness - our data in certain groups of nations.
Well, zero is the day I started collecting data. The data before was not collected by me - Enyavar was so nice and gave me his collected data. I only used the one nine days before I started, it shows how the Babyboom in UK, Germany and Portugal started.
The red line is where I published my last article. Ever since, UK dropped, but regained citizens recently. Germany and Portugal are having a Babyboom again, and France and Italy haven't had many changes.
So, what is the green line? It's approximately the time oranje finally started his German Babyboom Project. Now, the German Babyboom started shortly after this, now is he responsible for it?
Germany gained more than 1-1,5k citizens. Oranje's video has 750 views. Of these, appx 500 are from erepublik - i.e. people who already play erep and can't have started playing it because of the video. In case you don't know: He used his referrer link. So most people who'd watch the video would use his link and join erep. For every 10 persons, he'd get a Medal. So far, he got no medal at all. So basically, less than 10 persons joined via his link and only 2-300 people who don't play erep watched his video.
Therefore, the Babyboom is definitely not his work.
Now, I'm not gonna bore you with Germany internal affairs, let's continue.
Slovenia, Finland and Sweden are all losing slowly. However, Ireland are growing steadily. They'll probably soon make it over 1k and then we'll see if they can keep up.
Now, a bit more action. The Netherlands gained a lot of citizens about 2 months ago, now they have lost nearly all of them and are not really getting any more. And Denmark has a very steady grow - not unlike Ireland. Maybee they'll soon be able to defend themself against PTOs - and be independant again.
That leads to following graph.
Again, it doesn't say that either of those alliances is strong, I just shows where my focus lies and is a good way of summarising the data.
And, last but not least - how did the countries develop since Day zero (i.e. the day I started collecting data, not including the data from Enyavar)?
Believe it or not - that's it for today.
vote it or die violently
Skalg von Tuari
Comments
neat : 3
Voted für den Mann, der mir meine erste Firma verkauft hat! :- D
kein vote wega dem schlechten soziologen-comic...
soziologencomic? XKCD ein "schlechter Soziologencomic"? omq
Oranje caused a babyboom in Portugal!!! betrayaaar! 😉
btw: Schöner Artikel 🙂
voted for xkcd, my third most favorit online comic. (OotS and Schlockmercenary are on the top)
also voted for statistics
then voted for moar statistics
oh, and finally voted for mentioning my humble data collection. Find it here: http://tinyurl.com/enyacensus
4 votes from me!!
schöner comic
oots is awesome
Der comic ist wirklich schlecht, da selbst der Ersteller es noch nicht verstanden hat...
Statistic article--->love it
Der Comic:
A: Früher dachte ich Korrelation bedeutete Verursachung.
Dann nahm ich einen Statistik-Kurs.
Nun weiß ich, das dies nicht so ist.
B: Klingt so, als hätte der Statistikkurs geholfen.
A: Na ja, vielleicht.
Das ist die sinngemäße Überstzung des comics oben.
Kann jemand mir erklären was die Pointe ist?
Normalerweise hätte er geantwortet "Ja, der Kurs hat geholfen." aber weil er nun weiß, dass diese dem Besuch korrelierte Veränderung seiner Haltung nicht durch den Kurs verursacht sein muss sagt er "Nun, vielleicht."
Die Pointe liegt u.a. daran, dass der Zusammenhang in dem Fall schon offensichtlich ist (Korrelation muss nicht durch Ursache entstehen, KANN aber) und er dadurch ebenso sein Urteilsvermögen eingebüßt hat bzw. es sich durch diese Antwort nicht verbessert hat.
Schon witzig. 😁
Aber ich glaub die Pointe liegt darin, dass er gepupst hat, das kann man imho recht deutlich erkennen.
Top Artikel! o/
Otis hats verstanden.
warum korrelation nicht gleich kausalität ist: In den letzten 150 Jahren hat die Piraterie stark abgenommen und der CO2 Ausstoß stark zugenommen. Die Abnahme von Piraterie korreliert mit der Zunahme des CO2 Ausstoßes. Ich denke aber es ist offensichtlich dass der CO2 Ausstoß wegen dem Mangel an Piraten zunimmt, alsoi gibt es keine Kausalität ; )
@Otis84 Stimmt, anscheinend hat sein Kurs zwar geholfen. Gleichzeitig hat anscheinend sein Verstand abgenommen. Ob es da eine Kausalität gibt?
weil otis mich nochmal drauf hingewiesen hat:
Ich denke aber es ist offensichtlich dass der CO2 Ausstoß NICHT wegen dem Mangel an Piraten zunimmt, also gibt es keine Kausalität ; )
So isses rüschtüsch