Strong or Weak Currencies?
Jewitt
The following is a discussion made by Jewitt at the opening of the 13th Congress, at which he is representing Tennessee. It covers a very testy debate that the last congress failed to resolve: Should the USD be "strong" (worth a lot) or "weak" (worth little).
So many in the 12th Congress had wondered why the United States Dollar (USD) should be “strong” and not “weak.” Other learned businessmen and politicians cry for a “strong” currency, but they cannot back up why it is better. Now, with the 13th Congress convening, I hope to bring a little light to the question.
Instead of giving a big explanation, I’ll just let it be known that countries that cannot supply its own goods (major importers) require strong currencies while countries that are nearly self-sufficient (exporters) do better with weaker currencies. How is this possible?
Let’s say we have two countries: Merica and Anada [Guess who!]. Merica has a very strong currency, worth exactly twice as much as the currency of Anada. Unfortunately, this is bitter sweet because Merica only has the basics to survive, and does not have extras [Let’s say diamonds and iron for giggles!]. Anada, on the other hand, has everything it could ever need aside from a few low-demand goods.
Few know this, but a laissez-faire system allowed to work itself out (and somehow without monopolies or oligarchies rising) will do just this: The highly supplied country will have a weak currency while the poorly supplied country will have a stronger currency. How does this happen? I’m not explaining that, but I will say why it’s good.
Merica is suffering a massive shortage of diamonds and iron, and need it to continue its survival [or supremacy]. In response, it turns to its trading partner Anada to buy from. Anada’s currency is weak and small, so it is cheap to produce these goods compared to Merican standards. Even if it is not as cheap to produce these goods, Merica’s currency has a conversion rate so superior to Anada’s that Anadan businesses will make a lot of money back home when they convert it.
Now, this has two good affects and two bad affects for both sides. Anada gets a lot of money, and businesses grow. As usual, super companies form and threaten the smaller companies. However, despite this, more workers are employed and more workers are paid more. With this extra money, also brings expansion. Unfortunately, expansion will kill off other industries and may make it to where the nation is geared towards producing surplus of only a few resources (Example: eRep Spain with iron).
Merica is slightly better off, but still gets a bad taste in its mouth. It did not have to spend a lot of its money, so it pays a fairly good price. Unfortunately, this also means there is no incentive [or profitability!] to fill in these gaps in the market. With such a strong currency, Merica will eventually become completely reliant on imports to meet these needs. All of its strong businesses, of course, will do well but its struggling businesses (such as iron and diamond companies) will be smothered and unable to compete; especially in the international market.
Another problem with a strong currency is that when the stronger industries (for instance: grain or wood) attempt to export; they have difficulties due to their currency being worth a lot. This translates to having to pay high wages and other production expenses while foreign markets require lower prices to compete.
Which does the eUS want? Does it want a strong and powerful currency, to grab up all the goods of the market cheaply? Or does it want a weak currency to export to the masses and stock up not on goods, but on readily available funds?
Then, when debating Strong vs. Weak currencies, one has to take into consideration the government’s intervention to get its share. With a strong currency, the government can tax more on imports to allow its businesses to compete (even if so struggling), but cannot tax on domestic income least it would cripple its own businesses. A nation such as Anada with a weak currency would have to provide almost no import taxes (It already is producing very cheap goods and what it cannot produce cheaply it should welcome into its markets at low and competitive prices) but, to prevent hyperinflation, would have to impose authoritarian income tax laws.
With that, I give the 13th Congress this: Decide.
-Jewitt, Chief Editor
Comments
Why should the government be involved in monetary policy at all? The market does a better job of processing all the information than we do. So let things naturally work themselves out.
I agree with you, the market should work itself out naturally. However, in eUS there is a popular demand for a "strong" currency from some and skeptics wonder "what's so good with it being strong?" All you hear is "You can buy more." I wrote this to give the 13th Congress an idea of what each policy brings.
I appreciate the explanation! I hope more people read and understand what you're talking about.
I think we should be smart about it though. My opinion is that a strong market combined with import fees to protect our own market is a good idea. one flaw with Erepublik is that you cannot control individual import fees for different countries. That should be fixed.
I'm very liberal and believe in minimal government involvement.
I agree with Talia in that we should just let the economy work itself.
Why should we "protect" our market? If our companies can't compete why should we artificially prop them up?
why didn't you just call them the countries they obviously are? Afghanistan and Luxembourg
Government definitely should have no involvement in this. There's nothing wrong with having some industries in other countries. There is one thing that I don't strongly disagree with. Just because you have strong currency doesn't mean that eventually all of your industries will go out of business. To say the least that's a very illogical statement. If you have a strong currency and no gov't intervention, smart business will find a way to compete and stupid businesses will fail. Now unless every business in eAmerica is controlled by idiots, this country will have plenty of industries. Producing things that you are best at and buying cheaper products on the international market leads to increase standard of living. Which is the ultimate goal of all this.
One more thing, I will like you tried to make weak currency look better because of all the statements you made about how people don't back up the strong currency.
In the last paragraph change that "will" to "feel".
I like a lot of the posts here.
LennyA, would you call yourself a classical liberal?
For the record, in case no one picked it up: The Jewitt Report is (and I am) not supporting government intervention in the economy. This article is meant to be informative based on what the 12th Congress was talking about; fixing the USD's worth. It is only explaining the good and bad of each "type" of currency.
Yeah, I know. I was just making a remark about your writing style.
And govt should not be fixing the currency. All they have to do is lower the regulations.
@Jewitt
And thus, based on my beliefs, I am saying it doesn't matter. It doesn't matter because I believe we shouldn't try to make it our currency strong or weak. What happens happens. Let it happen, and leave it alone.
@Trysis
I guess you could say that.
Laissez-Faire is supposedly dead according to some xperts commenting the current RL economic crisis (ironically French President Sarkozy said that). Anyhow... Good article that highlights the effects of differing currency values. More like this please!
The comments here however seems to echo a liberal mantra where markets fix everything. Markets usually only take care of one thing: biggest possible profit. Politicians decisions guide the market drive by setting limits and thereby give pointers on where profits can be made. Ending the article with a question is wise, cause its a decision that will shape our domestic industry. Do we want a strong export or a strong import? Has anyone done the numbers on this and can say which is numerically better for most?
Great Article! Voted!
Since there is no High level resource of either Diamond or Iron the USA it makes sense to look elsewhere... Maybe we should buy from only US Corporations. Sort of ODD, how the USA has no High rated Iron deposits! in RL there are!!!
Nerdusuztra: markets take care of biggest possible utility, not profit. Utility is the catch-all variable for each individual human's preferences. It's not only about profit.
Tyrsis: Point granted, although I'll say that utility is what makes the profit possible. On an ideal basis consumers have the ultimate power, but we dont act with utility in mind. If it did our consumer goods would be of higher and more lasting quality, our environment better and the inequalities of our world less inequal. Our perception is also bent by companies through market domination/manipulation. For instance you can get coca cola in the most remote places in the world even though they lack basic medicines or school books. Every day we buy into the hype driven by billboards and commercials. We think we want it cause the profiteers know how to play our preferences.
Maybe, Nerdusuztra, although you may just be imposing your own personal values onto the marketplace here. You may personally find quality better than low-cost, but others may not.
We can only assume that people buy lower cost goods over quality goods because they prefer it (higher on the utility function).
I do love a good OT discussion 🙂
Indeed it is my own opinion and I try to convey it with rationale so it will be less imposing and more helping people make up their own mind. I also believe both Liberalism AND Socialism are good things, but that they need to be applied and adjusted within a pragmatic frame. The idea of leaving the markets alone just doesnt work according to RL history, why should it here? Low-class newbies need socialistic policies to help them survive the game and allow for them to make mistakes as workers, soldiers or even GM's. For example I think v1's policy of capping company ideal size to 10 was in recognition of this problem.
As for the rest of the market psychology discussion perhaps we should move it to IRC?
Well, if misunderstanding is the problem, the answer is education, not coercion (which is socialism in the form of regulation and such).
One reason why it works better here is because there is no false (merely perceived) product differentiation through marketing. Products of one type fit into 5 clear categories (quality levels), and then they are just traded by price.
Capping the company size seems more to me like diminishing marginal returns, to emulate real firm behaviour.