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If you missed my last article listing all the Congressmen, check here:
http://www.erepublik.com/en/article/the-irish-dail-of-july-august-2012-2090118/1/20

~~Well, yet another election cycle has finished. The dust has settled, the proxies have gone back to their parties and we now know what this month's Congress will look like. I want to begin this as I began the last one, with recognition for the various political parties in eIreland. Here are the membership numbers for the parties on the day of the election:


(The format for the Labels: (Party Abbreviation) (Number of Members) (Percent of Whole))

~~Irishpeople flocked to the polls and cast 233 votes. There weren't any particular surprises in the vote count, though there was increased involvement from the the IIP and ABT. In addition, the IFP managed to garner the second most number of votes, beating the ILP by a single vote. As is usual and expected, the IPP got most votes of the day.


(The format for the Labels: (Party Abbreviation) (Number of Votes) (Percent of Whole))

~~I had composed the next graph before I had calculated the wilds later in the morning. There are a couple of things to notice here. Firstly, the IIP broke onto the stage and gained a seat, where they had none last term. The IUP kept their seat by running as a Proxy under the ILP. Second, the IFP had a phenomenal showing, getting only two fewer congressmen than the IPP, a party twice the size of the IFP. I was however surprised at the low showing on the graph for the ILP, but it is a bit soon to mourn for them in this conversation.



~~The next graphs include wildcards. Now this is where the ILP really shines, picking up four additional seats. The IPP and IIP both picked up two more seats, and the IFP and ABT picked up no wildcards. With these figures in mind, the IPP emerged with 37.5% of the seats, the IFP with 27.5%, the ILP with 25%, the IIP with 7.5%, and the IUP with 2.5% of the seats. Compared to the last election that is a 5% drop for the IPP, a 7.5% drop for the ILP, a 5% gain for the IFP, a 7.5% gain for the IIP, and the IUP kept their one seat.



The following is a version without the Regions and Wilds identifie😛



~~This Electoral cycle was a tough fight for many of the candidates, and votes were spread more evenly than last election's Cork rush. Cork still had the most voters, but not by nearly as wide a margin. Nationally we can see that a good number of candidates went home disappointed with 75 candidates competing for 40 seats. From that we can derive that 35 people would be disappointed, but how did that effect the parties?



~~Well, all parties lost large proportions of their contests, except for the IFP, which only lost 3 of the 14 attempts. I'm not sure about the other parties, but I do know from making the party list that 2 of those 3 candidates were unofficial. Anyhow, enough of my bragging. This election we saw a major drop in the success rate for most parties. I would venture to guess this has to do with the way the elections were spread with the addition of Dublin and Louth back into the equation. A graph to show the resultant Electoral Ratio is here:


(This chart includes Bhane in the ILP figure as a success, so removing Bhane the ILP had a 50% success rate)

~~As a further analysis of the election I would say that in addition to the new regions, we obviously saw a major increase in surprise successful candidates. I know one of the IFP winners has still not returned any communication, and I would bet that the other parties suffer from the same thing. Whether these people are bots or not, I won't venture to guess, but these last elections were suspicious in that regard, and the incidents weren't isolated to any one party, though some seemed more prevalent than others.

Addition:

~~Ok, so comments made me think of charts I had collected stats for, but forgot to make, so I made them. This will hopefully let parties see the value of the votes they lost to unsuccessful candidates. Honestly, I think this stat is a bit more relavent than the Success Rate, as this shows where the votes are being lost. Some addition figures for lost votes come in the form of overage, but that is often harder to qualify and regulate. I know last month both NFM and I got 10 votes in contests that would have had us in first place with 5-6. That equates to another 2 candidates that could have gotten into Congress for the IFP had we had better control of those votes. These graphs show the number of votes going to unsuccessful candidates. The second graph shows votes for unsuccessful candidates as a percentage of total votes. Next month I will endeavor to truly give statistics for wastage on both sides of the spectrum.





~~Now I want to run down the parties who ran or are seated, and talk about what I saw as strengths or weaknesses:

Irish Progressive Party: The IPP has the inherent strength of sheer numbers. They will continue to hold a lion's share of Congress for quite some time, and their rush tactics work well, even if it leads them to have low success rates for candidates, simply as they can pack the field and ensure that every third name you see has the IPP cross beside them.

Independent Labor Party: The ILP took it on the chin in many regards this election. Crowded fields led to people like B&T losing out on an election, but even moreso, the ILP fell to only getting half of their names elected and losing 3 seats. The next election will surely define whether this was a fluke or not. Now, where the ILP did awesome was in the case of wildcards. They may not have won the main contests, but many of their candidates were on the verge of being in the top 4 in most regions.

Irish Freedom Party: It wouldn't take long to figure out I was te President of the IFP, if you didn't know already, but I will try to keep this objective. The IFP suffered from a terrible morning, with it looking like we would lose 3-4 seats through most of the day, but the afternoon and evening saw a resurgence. As a critique of the IFP, I would say a bit of tuning in vote management could have seen the gain of 2 more seats, but my own compulsion to get people into the top 4, and ignoring wildcards likely cost us a seat or two. The IFP punches well above it's weight, and has an astonishing Success Rate in elections and turnout for the votes. In fact, the IFP is the only political party that recieved more votes than we have members, which is a normal occurance.

Irish Independence Party: The IIP did an awesome job at reclaiming some seats in the Congress after being completely shut out last term. Picking up 3 seats was great, and there seemed to be a fair amount of good vote management on the day.

A Better Tomorrow: ABT is a party that may have reached too far, too fast. They were also marred on the day of the election with accusations of multies and bots. By the end of the day they did have some names in the top 4 or in the wildcards, but after illegal votes were removed, ABT sat with no victors. Now, you can check for yourself, there were 13 legal ABT votes. Had they focused on one or two candidates, we would have seen this new party enter the Congressional Stage, however their fielding too many candidates led to a couple of candidates that fell just below the wildcards after the Admin time.

Irish Union Party: Bhane...That is all...




Thanks,
Ronisu


PS: Join the IFP, it is AWESOME! 😉

PSS: Irish Political Parties are great, join one, I am biased though when recruiting, 🙂

(Check out last months for comparison: http://www.erepublik.com/en/article/the-congressional-electoral-wrapup-2069676/1/20 )