Risks of Burning Out Our Economy ?
Melophore
The current figure of inflation is stagerring, 42.17% in a month. With the average wage at 4.41GBP, buying the Q2 food at 1 GBP, buying one Q1 weapon at 2.50GBP and an 0.88 GBP income tax, your left with 10 p that you can save. If you earn less than 4.3 GBP a day, your wellness can only get worse.
The measures TUP put into place have increased wages, but have sent prices skyrocketting. Their measures have not really increased social mobility (that means going from poor to rich...) at all. You are barely have a confortable life if you are earning more than 5 GBP a day.
I run a company, work for 1 GBP a day to try and preserve profitabliity. I see staff on 4 or 5 GBP a day see there health decline, I easily spent around 200 GBP this week to bail out those whose health is critical.
When you own a company you have two choices, help them out or fire them.
What I find suprising is that a centre-left government has put company managers to fire sick staff ! A centre-left party supported by the PCP. (And internally, Jamie Carter supporting the TUP doesn't give the Socialist Party anymore credibility.)
How many people are complaining about health since the change of hosiptal rules ? Who are affected, the poor whose productivity drops. Indirectly the companies that did as TUP asked, increase wages to see their productivity and profit margins drop.
Maybe TUP as just looking for a quick fix to get their Country President elected ! And after, what happens ?
The future bankruptcy of the British eEconomy
If inflation continues and the GBP keeps losing value compared to gold, it will become profitable for foreign industries to sell their products in the UK at a profit despite the 99% import tax. It wouldn't take much for a new "Soviet Commune dumping" to ruin all of british companies.
We willl have a sick unproductive workforce working for high wages buying foreign products because it is too expensive to produce them in the UK. We will see poor British citizens just roll over and die because there is nothing left for them to do.
What needs to be done ?
A massive effort has to be done to block inflation, block wages, increase productivity and reduce income tax to help exporting companies.
I outlined this in a previous article Industrial Britain : A long term strategy.
We also need a Benefit system to help UK citizens maintain their health
TUP choose the easy cheap solution of injecting cash into the money supply, when we need to boost spending power. The cheaper our products are, the easier they are to export, clearing the nation of excess production.
Are we facing a burnout ?
Today's economic situation is like a game musical chairs. Every company is increasing wages and prices trying to draw the remaining productive employees to insure it's survival. At the end, when 80% of the population is too ill to work, companies will go bankrupt.
This can reduce overall economic productivity rates, as the capital required to retool companies becomes more elusive or expensive. High inflation may lead to shortages of goods if consumers begin hoarding out of concern that prices will increase in the future.
Well aren't goods like Q2 food hard to come by ? We are in a cost-push inflation, prices raise, wages must be raised, health drops, so does productivity, so prices go on going up... Hoarding as well is in action, people are just stocking up goods because prices can gain 10% overnight !
Even if Keers holds to his Hayek's business cycles... According to the Austrian Business Cycle Theory, inflation sets off the business cycle. Austrian economists hold this to be the most damaging effect of inflation. According to Austrian theory, artificially low interest rates and the associated increase in the money supply lead to reckless, speculative borrowing, resulting in clusters of malinvestments, which eventually have to be liquidated as they become unsustainable. Even Hayek says that inflation is an unsustainable solution.
There is connections between unemployment and inflation, inflation ruins companies causing unemployment to go up.
The fact is that the GBP is debased compared to gold, that is the international currency. It is time for the government to start reducing the money supply to give the GBP some value.
We are heading to a major collapse of the economy, unemployment and bankruptcy.
We need a long-term industrial policy !
Comments
Stop it 😐
Remember that erep 😕= RL? Good.
Why is it all TUP's fault? 😕
I dont know sh*t about economics so i cant pass judgement.
I have checked the price/wage ratios of a random sweep of eNations, particularily focussing on the Skill 3 or lower bracket. Our system compares favourably to all of them.
As far as I can see, your analysis mainly pertains to workers < Skill 3 who earn 5 GBP or less. Would we really be expecting those level players to be regular consumers on the gun market anyway?
We have Iain keers who is one of the best economists in eRep, have faith in our govt.
Down with the inflation!
Up with balanced growth in erepublik economy in eUK!
(pff Bob I now the difference between the game and RL. I'm just writing a paper, stop trying demoralizing everyone 😉 )
Ever heard of free of speach Bob ? I'm not insulting anyone, I'm just making a realistic prediction of the future. If you're not happy don't read it ! I'm talking about my company, like many others that isn't a commune where noone works, so noone gets paid...
You're just vexed because you support a policy that might fail. It is all pseudo-elitist "I'm in the top 5 parties so I know what I'm talking about" stuff again.
I hope your strategy works, but if it fails I think the PCP reconsider supporting bad policy just to get seats in the Congress and selling itself off.
Why is it TUP's fault ? Have you seen the amount of cash they pumped into the market in less than a week ? 500 Gold just the other day, that is almost 20% of GDP.
Favoring exports would have been a good solution, far better for everyone spending's power.
For Dubbhthaigh.
Increasing productivity causes inflation. Inflation demands wage raises... and the cycle starts.
Instead of dumping cash inb the market, favoring exports or increasing the seize of the army would have been preferable.
Just because the wage is high doesn't mean you can buy more if everything is more expensive. At 4.41, which is the average wage, you can only buy a Q1 weapon a day. Q1 weapons so be so cheap that we could buy 5 a day.
Instead of spending our gold and using to cause inflation, we should invade some place, to use our stock of weapons, our food to create more demand.
Prices are going to double in two months, many other countries have inflation rates at 10%, not almost 50% a month.
PLUS it doesn't stop the average health of the working class to drop.
http://www.erepublik.com/en/article/the-economist-recovery-plan-succeeds--1281589/1/20" target="_blank">http://www.erepublik.com/en/article/the-[..]1/20
Dunno where you're getting your figures from, but here is my summation of the current economy.
http://www.erepublik.com/en/article/the-economist-recovery-plan-succeeds--1281589/1/20" target="_blank">http://www.erepublik.com/en/article/the-[..]/1/20
('tis Bob)
You're using flawed ingame statistics, such as inflation and GDP. These measures do not work.
I would also point out that the 'benefit system' you mentioned was proposed by a PCP member, but I won't because that's a cheap thing to do. 😉
Prices are rising because consumption is rising. Wages are rising along with them. This is a recovery. Also note that the devaluation of the GBP a while ago was designed specifically to boost exports.
You seem all mobilized to torpedo this article in a marginal newspaper... Nobody will reade it, what are you worried about ?
I am nobody, I'm not a party president, I'm not even running to be party president, I'm not even running to be president.
Haven't noticed that Q2 food price has more than doubled ? That is 100% inflation... anyway. You are many so you are right.
I used one measure, so what, inflation is there and it is massive. 44% 39% or 53% WTF !
I might be wrong but I think it is a parody of recovery.
I hope I am wrong and you are right.
And what are going to do to improve people's wellness ? I am really concerned about solutions, not excuses.
(You're all out to get me aren't you TUP/PCP ?)
Are you worried that my little article will stop Pensive from being CP ?
At last, someone else who has an opinion on the economy. It's about time that we had an alternative voice.
Shame on the eUK-left for jumping on him like that.
The worst thing is I'm a member of the eLeft ! lol Maybe I've shifted to the eRight, time will tell...
I think employers should get together and block wages. Encourage productivity through a weekely bonus. Higher productivity means more goods, that means prices drop and wages stay stable. Lower prices means more competition to take abroad !
I didn't think such a little article would create so many reactions ! Thank you all. I wasn't even trying to provoke anyone !
You’re absolutely right. I’ve spoken to several players who have seen the value of their currency savings wiped out and without restrictions to the money supply we’ll end up with chronic inflation and out ability to trade out of economic difficulties will be shattered.
As a few people will attest I’m very much a proponent of injecting as much business competition as possible into eRep. Especially with a view to companies that supply the government as I suspect that this would act as a small break on inflation.
I’d rather see economic growth as a result of successful companies and low taxes rather than an artificially induced boom. Because the hangover from the boom is always going to be a bust of epic proportions.
A lesson that can be easily brought from RL into the ‘New World’.
Am i wrong or is erep just a game?
(You're all out to get me aren't you TUP/PCP ?)
Don't be paranoid. It's just when I see you doing silly things, I'm compelled to comment.
Anyway, more stuff then:
1. The GBP was artificially, deliberately devalued. It is now stable. It is not losing value relative to gold.
2. As I said before, the economic changes were designed to boost exports - exactly what you suggested. Furthermore, the gifting proposal that you suggested has also been adopted.
3. Prices, on the whole, aren't particularly increasing right now. There are still fluctuations, but nothing like a massive boom.
Melophore, you argue against inflation and claim you support the new/sick players. There is a contradiction because of the game mechanics: You cannot set the minimum wage below 1.00 in any currency. As a result, if the value-added of the labour of new workers is below 1.00 GBP, no firm other than those subsidized by the government would employ them.
I claim employment is far more valuable than high wages for these young workers. Why? Because regardless of your productivity, 30 days of work returns you 5 gold. That is 6.65 GBP/day, which is higher than any flimsy benefit sustaining no inflation would have provided to the young citizens. As if that weren't enough, also remember that most of the income of the young citizens come from all sorts of achievement gold, and is not affected by what the level of wages or the rate of inflation are. In fact, Lana which nearly killed eRep's economy helped the new players considerably.
Although I will not take a solid stance on your claims since I do not have the time at the moment to conduct a thorough analysis, I am delighted to meet another who is not afraid to speak his mind on economic matters. I have voted and subscribed to your newspaper, and I am willing to participate in future discussions. You might also enjoy my newspaper, although I have neglected it for a while. I am saving my strength for an in-depth analysis of V2.