Analiza izbora - Analysis of elections
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by lordbonislav
Prvo pogledajte moj članak vezan za rezultate prošlih izbora.
Nakon promene izbornog sistema doći će i do male promene vlasti. Više neće biti kandidata pojedinih regija (a moje lično mišljenje je da je stari izborni sistem bio bolji jer ste znali za koga glasate) već se glasa za stranačku listu (što dosta podseća na RL izbore u Srbiji).
UiS je na prošlim izborima dobila 38% glasova a imala je 42,5% kongresmena (17). Ovi podaci govore da je ova stranka veoma lepo raspodelila svoje glasove i da su članovi stranke disciplinovani. Ako UiS osvoji isti procenat glasova imaće 2 kongresmena manje (15).
PnPP je na prošlim izborima osvojila 20% glasova a imala 15% kongresmena (6). Ova stranka je loše raspodelila svoje glasove. Međutim, po novom izbornom sistemu PnPP će imati dva kongresmena više ( 8 ).
LaP je na prošlim izborima imala 36% glasova i dobila 37,5% kongresmena (15). Ako ova stranka osvoji isti procenat glasova, broj kongresmena će verovatno ostati isti. Sve zavisi od toga šta urade male partije.
UiS je očigledno žrtva novog izbornog sistema!
First, see my article about the results of the last elections.
After changing the electoral system, there will be a slight change of government. There will not be a individual region candidate (and my personal opinion is that the old electoral system was better because you know for whom you vote), but a vote for the party list (which seems to be similar to the RL elections in Serbia).
UiS has received in the last election 38% of the votes and 42.5% of congressmen (17). These data indicate that the party was very nice distribute their votes and party members were disciplined. If UiS wins the same percentage of the votes, UiS will have two congressmen less (15).
PnPP in the last election won 20% of votes and 15% of congressmen (6). This party is a bad distribute their votes. However, under the new electoral system PnPP will have two more congressmen ( 8 ).
LaP in the last election won 36% of the votes and 37.5% of congressmen (15). If the party wins the same number of votes, the number of congressmen will probably remain the same. It all depends on what you do small parties.
UiS is obviously a victim of the new electoral system!
kraj.
lordbonislav
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Comments
Prvi... Zanimljivo u svakom slucaju... Pa sad je na strankama da predstave bolji i zanimljiviji program...
cool
This does seem to punish the more organised parties, but oh well, that's eRep for u😃
Like MMP it makes sure that the Parliment is made up in direct proportion to the wishes of the people, how is that a bad thing. It works for RL New Zealand, dont see why it woulcnt work just as well here.
Yeah it basically changes the parliament from multi-winner electorates to full party list proportional, similar to what is done in Israel, NZ and Germany.
The thing I like about it is that you now have the PP in each party to actual have power of the congressional elections, whereas before, the PP had about 0 power over elections.