An eRepublik-Wide Effort: Interlude. PEACE is dead. Long Live PEACE.
Albert Neurath
The eWorld has been shocked over the last week and a half by the sudden, rapid disintegration of the PEACE GC. This alliance, for a long time the dominant power on the face of the globe, seems to have become moribund as its primary leading countries pull out. Starting with Indonesia, then spreading like a virus across the other PEACE countries, secession mania swept the alliance. In a historic move, the alliance voted to dissolve itself.
Before the assembled nations of EDEN go off and start drinking themselves into a stupor over their victory, however, I must preach caution. Although the original alliance has dissolved itself, most of the major nations of PEACE still are on good terms with one another. I predict that the countries formerly part of PEACE, even though they are officially disunited, will continue to play a major role in the geopolitics of the eWorld. Like the nations of ATLANTIS did some months ago, I believe there will be several smaller alliances springing up to take over the old mantle of PEACE.
Now, I shall give my predictions as to which alliances shall be formed from the breakup:
1. The AHA will officially become its own independent alliance, much like Sol is already. Because the AHA's member nations are all Hispanosphere or Lusosphere nations, they already have much in common culturally and linguistically. The AHA will, I predict, be expanded to include Portugal, as the other major Lusophone country besides Brazil. Because the AHA nations generally are small in population, except Brazil and Argentina, I predict that they will seek to form a common ground with other old nations of PEACE, while still preserving their independence.
2. France, Italy, Germany, the Netherlands, and the UK will form their own power bloc. As former PEACE members with medium to large populations, these nations are too large to invade without a major concentrated effort by EDEN forces, while still not strong enough to mount major offensives on their own. This power bloc will, if formed, probably pursue a policy of neutrality in foreign affairs, again due to the medium-sized populations of these nations.
3. Hungary, Russia, Turkey, Iran, and Serbia create their own power bloc as well. As these nations are some of the most devoted countries to PEACE, they are the most likely to continue to try and complete PEACE's goals, whatever they may have been. This group of nations, with their large populations, will pose a significant military threat to EDEN nations should conflicts resume.
4. The smaller PEACE states (except Bulgaria and Pakistan, for reasons I shall discuss), will not join any of the established alliances, or will join one of the smaller newly emerging alliances. Bulgaria and Pakistan will join with the "Large Power Bloc" led by Hungary because of historical support reasons (Dioists in Pakistan, and Bulgaria's close proximity to a perennially hostile Greece and Turkey)
5. Indonesia shall remain officially neutral. Because of Indonesia's attack on Malaysian territory, they have earned the ire of both several of their former PEACE allies and the Sol alliance, and will probably have a hard time rejoining any of the newly emerging power blocs.
Albert Neurath, ex-President of Thailand.
Vote and Subscribe!
Comments
а россия все равно вас победит
и германию тоже
well done sir
interesting article. voted up !
/salute
Good article! I especially liked the predictions. We will see how accurate they are, hopefully soon!
Also, the possibility that France/Italy/Austria will move to closer relations with Canada and the US, perhaps protecting them from Hungary and it's co, as well as from hostile EDEN nations
@ Spencer:
Wishful thinking, unfortunately. I think that they will take steps to make sure that it's too costly to invade, rather than pursue an active rapprochement with EDEN.
\o/ Indonesia \o/
Good Article, Vote and Sub
Well written but I dont think the eUK will be going anywhere. They were the weakest link in PEACE GC's blunder into North America and are known turncoats... Any new alliance would do well to avoid them at the risk of waking up one day to see that they have given someone else an inroad into their alliance for favorable treatment.
AHA will probily work out fine until Hungary goes making demands for more Iron for their war machine (If it can recover from losing its Indo tanks).
Hungary will form a new alliance that will quickly die due to infighting. Its hard to run an alliance when you view your country as the end all be all in the word. Russia would be nuts to go into any form of Alliance that allows Hungary any more power than the rest of the members.
All in All, PEACE GC's demise started long ago, around the time of the American invasion of Mexico. The cracks just took longer to hit the core than expected but fragmented way deeper than anyone could have guessed at.
@Albert
Maybe. Canada and the US have already signed peace with France and MPP's with Italy, and Canada is signing an MPP with Austria right now as well
@ Relorian:
While I find your analysis of the UK to be correct in that they are opportunists, the fact remains that they are opportunists with 8000 people, many of them old Beta players. If the purposes of the defensive alliance that I envision will spring up is simply to make any invasion incredibly costly, then the Western European nations would do well to have the UK with them. If they want to have a major role on the world stage though, then the UK would be a detriment.
It's an interesting analysis, and quite close to what I think. however, I think certain nations have gained the ire of the majority more then you think, and I think different groupings are going to come out of the woodworks. and unlike all the amazing propagandists of EDEN say, the UK has none of the ire of any of the former PEACE nations.
I don't see how eIndo would remain neutral - and you have under-estimated the deep entrenched 'trust'/'brotherhood' between the former PEACE nations. I think there will be an unofficial alliance between eRussia-eHungary-eSerbia-eIndo-eIran. Interesting topic however. 🙂 I also believe that eDEN, without a strong enemy - will eventually collapse.
Interesting to see how it will pan out.
Although i completly disagree with Relorian about the eUK, we were PEACE and have been nothing but good allies for them - we are moderatly powerful and support our allies so i dont really see the problem.
http://www.erepublik.com/en/article/congressional-manifesto-of-damian-jacob-tamir-jager-november-2009-1038151/1/20" target="_blank">http://www.erepublik.com/en/article/cong[..]1/20
- Please vote and subscribe and people of the SE vote for me on the 25th of November 2009.