10:30 193 votes left to be cast
Day 255, 10:52
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Published in USA 
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by
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by Pearlswine
Through fancy maths and data collection, there appears to be about 193 votes left to be cast.
This is quite disconcerting because as of right now, only 235 out of the 409 people who worked today voted. Over 2/5 of the US doesn't know or care that there is an election today.
From my estimates, there are ~335 more people who will work today .At the current 57% voter rate that leaves us with 193 more voters.
In order for Justinious McWalburgson III to win the election, he'll need to win over 60% of the remaining votes, effectively a 20 point swing from the current rate. It's too early to call this election, but at this point, Archibald is heavily favored to win.
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Thanks Pearl, I amazed at Archi\'s lead.
Great stuff as usual, Pearl.
Yeah I thought the race would be MUCH closer.
This race is not even CLOSE to over. Good work Pearl.
How did you get your estimates on how many more people would work? I figure that once people start to get off from work more people would get on and there would be more people voting then in that time frame.
But from what you have it looks like Archi should get just about lock things up if he gets 200 votes since your predictions put there to be 435 voters and the other three already have more then 35 votes. First to 200 wins.
From my medic stuff I looked at who has worked within the past 3 days, that\'s about 730 people. I can also tell who worked today. I didn\'t check if they voted, I just assumed that if you voted, you worked.
Yea, my math was a real rough estimate and I didn\'t take into account 3rd party candidates in my 60-40 estimate. Each 3rd party vote makes it more difficult for Justinious to catch up. With the number of votes third party candidates have been getting, you can probably call it around 165 votes
Rough estimates, but an interesting analysis. Great work.
Awesome stuff pearl