[MoE] eIrish Population and Voting
Ian E CoIeman
April 6, 2013
Hello eIreland,
Different statistics can tell us a lot about trends here in eIreland, and help us to develop a more accurate view of our place in the eWorld.
Value of Voting Stats
There's lots of valuable information available here on eRepublik but you need to know where to find it and what it means. If you look on eIreland's Society Page you can see that the number of eIreland's "Active citizens" is listed as around 560. You can see from this page that eIreland's population was at one time scraping 2000, but has been steady at around 500 since 2011. However, you will see as you read on that these figures are not an accurate representation of eIreland's true active population (unfortunately).
A better measure of eIreland's true active population is to look at elections and voter turn outs. Each month there are three elections (Country President, Congress, and Party President). By examining and averaging these numbers we can get something like an accurate picture of how many active citizens there are in eIreland in a given month. We know that voters cannot be dead or banned citizens because citizens must log in to vote. Another advantage of this data is that the admin look to discount illegitimate multi votes from elections. This means that to the extent that the admin's security is effective the validity of our data is not damaged by multiple votes.
Lines and Numbers
I've taken the liberty of graphing some election data so that you can see what our election statistics look like from January 2012 until present.
If you'd like to work with this data you can find it here.
Conclusion
This data has a few uses:
1. Compare monthly figures to referendum and voting turn outs to see how valid a specific study or poll is.
2. Look at trends in active population to see how we're doing as a nation at keeping folks interested and retaining players.
3. Relate this data to other information like national damage to see how we're doing on a per capita bases or how various elements of our performance relate to population.
4. Compare eIreland to other countries to get a more accurate picture of where we stand in the world.
I'm sure you can think of other uses for this data as well. One thing to note is that the fall at the end of the graph is only based on one data point (yesterday's Cp elections) and so once we've seen the next two elections that average my prove to be misleading.
Cheers!
Comments
good article
thanks 🙂
Very interesting. Good idea. Scary that its on the decline but nothing that isn't expected unfortunately.
Good job bro !
vote!
Voted hard. Great article and analysis.
Keep up the awesome work Ian.
I tend to discount party elections and look at the votes in CP and Congress, so it's been averaging round about 170-180 for the last several months. Of those, I take Congress as most important as all votes can be crucial there whereas we've had CP elections that were really one horse races and thus less people voted.
Just another example of the failing of democracy.
Fascinating article - it looks like a four month cycle in activity with a gradual down trend.
o7
V+S
Would the decline be due to summer? Everyone says that fewer people play in summer so this may be the proof.