Why past Presidents won

Day 1,143, 10:43 • Published in USA USA • by ligtreb

My last article generated such an overwhelming response that it inspired me to look at prior Presidential elections to see how well my analysis holds up. You may want to read that one before reading this article, or this article may not make as much sense. Here are the results, including one bombshell in August I was not expecting.

(Note: I'm limiting this article to five months so it's not tl;dr. If this series remains popular and I'm motivated, I'll do these in parts).

December 2010 (Josh Frost beats CRoy 50-41😵: Both candidates campaigned heavily, and both had two of the top-four party endorsements. The edge came in name recognition: Frost has over 4,000 subs compared to CRoy's 1900, and Frost has 8600+ friends compared to CRoy's 2600. The concepts in my article about Haliman hold here, but the fact CRoy did not get blown out by a former two-time President with twice the subs and friends shows what a strong campaign he ran.

November 2010 (Alexander Hamilton wins with 65😵: Alex had really low-name recognition for a President (even after his term, he now only has 600 subs and 1500 friends). But he had no serious competition, Claire Littleton finished in second after not campaigning at all.

October 2010 (Colin Lantrip beats Claire Littleon 52-36😵: In that election like this month's, Colin was seen as the more qualified candidate and like Inwegen, Colin isn't a big media or party person. However, Colin put in the necessary work to become president, getting a media mogul (he's at 1900 subs now), thousands of friends and three big party endorsements.

September 2010 (St Krems beats Cromstar by six votes): Easily the closest U.S. election of my lifetime, Cromstar was actually ahead at reset until the admins took away votes from both candidates (but more from Cromstar). St Krems was the incumbent and President during a month with a lot of military wins in Russia. However, he barely campaigned at all, and while Cromstar campaigned, he didn't go all out either. Krems held on mostly because of the power of incumbency, Cromstar had more friends, and while Krems has a lot more subs, he barely wrote at all while he was President. September was the weakest campaigning done in a contested Presidential election in my lifetime.

August 2010 (St Krems wins uncontested on final ballot): This is the bombshell I was referring to in my intro, and the bombshell isn't that Krems won. The intrigue from August is what happened before the final election. As a lot of you may remember, that was the month we had a national primary because we wanted to save as many voters as we could to help our ally Croatia who had open citizenship after being erased before the election. Krems and Fionia both agreed that the Primary winner would be the only one that appeared on the in-game ballot, and Krems won the primary.

However, after studying Presidential elections over the past couple of years, I'm convinced that if we had a normal election in August, Fionia would've won the election. She would've won quite comfortably too, like Haliman did this month. Here's why:

1) Fionia has nearly double the friend total now (and probably a bigger ratio back then, since Presidents get a lot of friend requests while in office.
2) Fionia and Krems likely had a similar number of subs (Krems has more now, but Presidents get a lot of new subs while in office).
3) Fionia would've definitely had the endorsement of the largest party (she was a prior USWP Party President) and would've likely earned at least two other major party endorsements -- she's been much more involved in party politics than Krems has.
4) Krems, as awesome as he is and as well as he knows the game, is not a good campaigner. He nearly lost to Cromstar (a weaker candidate than Fionia) despite having the power of incumbency. Fionia, being a life-long member of the USWP and former Party President and political director knows how to campaign and recruit people to help her do so.
5) The primary electorate was not nearly the same as the usual, full electorate. The primary was mostly advertised and discussed on the eUS forums, where Krems is more famous and the executive branch-type people Krems hangs out with dominate the discussion. Fionia's supporters seemed to mostly come from constituencies that don't usually frequent the eUS forums (party people).

Krems was an awesome President (one of our country's best ever) and am glad he won. However, I would've liked to see Fionia get her shot too.

Fionia is a national hero for sacrificing her own ambitions for the good of an ally. She could've complained and questioned the authority of the primary and the removal of our democracy for a month. But she didn't. She could've complained when the Primary mechanism failed throughout the day, and she could've taken an offer by two different Party Presidents to put her on the ballot anyway after they saw all the bugs in the Primary website. But she didn't.

We definitely haven't treated her well since. Instead of praising her, SEES, the UIP, and others troll her mercilessly and constantly. But to her detractors, I ask: How many people have given up a clear shot to be President for the good of another country? I can't think of anyone else.

That sums up the last five months of elections before this one. If you all like this series, I will keep going back further in time if you want.

Thanks for reading and subscribing.