Deja vu...

Day 2,496, 19:44 Published in Greece Greece by Iaswn




It’ s been a long time since the last time I published an article, but I have the feeling that it’ s about time to write one.
The eWorld is about to change once again, Countries are already in talks for the past two months, there is nothing clear yet, but a knowledgeable person can understand how things are going to be in the near future. But lets get the general idea first.

Asteria
This alliance had since the very beginning two flaws on the design.

a) Hungary and Romania weren't ready to do the big step and leave their past aside, like Greece and Turkey did in the past, and
b) It didn’t have the military support of the most military-active players of eGreece which was the 3rd or even 2nd strongest country of this alliance at the time.



Sirius
The major flaw of Sirius was the lack of motive from its strongest country Poland and the nonexisting bond between the member countries, except the duo Spain-Poland.

On first sight you would believe that Asteria had/has more dmg and that holds the biggest part of the population pie. On the other hand Sirius had the “support” of Aurora and if you don't like the term support then lets say that Sirius and Aurora share the same objectives. That balances out and actually outnumbers Asteria on the battlefield, cause Asterias’ sidekick was/is Asgard.
The 5th alliance with some sort of power was/is Leto which is actually a mixture from both cores Asteria and Sirius so for this article we will consider Leto as even.




Regarding the flaws since their establishment.

Asteria
Argentina and Chile signed an agreement which covered their backs completely on their cores and allowed them to focus on offensive battles only. This agreement superseded Asteria, meaning if an Asterian country attacked Chile, Argentina would fight against them. Asteria tried to benefit from it but they didn’t see the Trojan Horse. Chile was free to mess with the rest of the world, maybe Chile wasn't a Sirius country but they were members of an enemy alliance and without Argies on their back they were free to attack Asteria and help Sirius. In a way the same happened for Sirius but there was a huge difference there, Chile wasn't a Sirius country so they gained an ally with secure cores. The true beneficiary of this agreement was Sirius.
Long story short, Asteria secured their members cores but they let the wolf loose.

Another issue was the Greek unsupportive military tactic; sitting on the fence and not attacking when you should is not a proper ally behavior; especially when the enemy is at your door and is hard pressing your allies. Although at the time it was very difficult for something like this to happen, due to the internal affairs of Greece, nevertheless they didn't even try it. You never know what it may have happened.

Second pitfall for Asteria was the numerous political traps they felt into. Countless log leaks, plan leaks, and terrible public relations. We can say that these types of mistakes occur when those who run the show are either blinded or amateurs”.

Leak examples: The logs of their first ever meeting, the leaks regarding the slovenian AS and so on.

PR mistakes: Instead of staying away of the Greek internal affairs, they intervened, they got involved with numerous statements from high ranking members of Asteria countries, which made things even worst and turned more people against them i.e the statement of the Hungarian MoD.
Another PR mistake was the Hungarian decision to leave Asteria and the way Asteria presented the whole thing; that gave the feeling of instability within Asteria to allies and enemies.

Sirius
In the beginning they played it well and smart! They saw the Greek internal conflict and they benefited from it but things went south, when some member countries signed mpp with Skopje. There wasn't a huge downfall for them because it was too late for Asteria to counter attack this but Sirius could have been in an even better position militarily.

One more pitfall of Sirius was the “chickenism” (please allow me the use of this term) of Poland, this is a major issue of Poland since EVER! as soon as they lose some bonuses they turn back and they leave people alone on the battlefield. This stopped Sirius from progressing even further which could have been a walk in the park with the help of Aurora and with the massive help provided at the time from Chile in Europe/Balkans.
You have to lose some if you wanna win.




Some might ask, why don't you write about the other alliances and their role in more detail?
My answer is simple we live in a bipolar world, there were/are/will always be 2 major poles and the others will co-op or ally with one or the other. Obviously the sidekicks play a major role on this play but their role is not that of the leading actor they are either guest stars or second “rollers”. So the credits go to the leading actor.




What comes next?

We have seen almost everything so far, especially the old players, and the game doesn't motivate the alliances/countries/players for something new/different; maybe with more strategy.
So what should we expect from the new alliances?





Lets state what we know so far!

•Argentina wants Greece and Romania for allies and that goes both ways for all of them (or maybe not for Ro-Arg?)

•Serbia wants Hungary, the well known SerHun and their sidekick Slovenia ( I won't even mention the Serbo-countries like Montenegro they all do whatever the puppeteer demands). Serbs as far as I know, also want their Orthodox “Brothers”; do their “brothers” actually want them?

•Hungary was mentioned previously, but I have to add that they don't want Romania and I believe that this works both ways once again. What would Serbia do? Are they going to abandon Romania?

•Does Romania want Serbia? if not? what changed their minds when few months back they risked almost everything to ensure that they will be with them. And what will they do if Serbs abandon them?

•Spain doesn't want to go away from Poland but does Poland still want them onboard? If not where Spain is going to go?

•Chile won't leave its little one(Skopje) alone nor its alliance with Bulgaria. But do they dream of a South American Alliance? however, can a SAA alliance may be?

•Croatia and Turkey are doing just fine together and I don't see why they would separate now. They don't go with the Serbs or maybe they do now?

•USA? goes everywhere is just subject of who runs the show over the Atlantic as long as Serbia is not in the same alliance.

•China? where is Romania? we will go there, like it matters…




Inside info or Rumors of Possible alliances

Serbia, Poland, Hungary, Turkey, Greece
If we accept that there is such a proposal [ I know there is 😉 ] this means that Argies will have to go with Chile and a south american dream might come true. Will Greeks though leave Argies and Romanians? Where will this alliance be heading? Towards SAA (S. American Alliance) obviously.

I doubt that Greece will say yes to such an alliance, without Argies and Romanians. Which leaves 2 options for Greece a) they will either go for a standalone sort of alliance with Ro and Arg and whoever else is going to follow or b) they will ally with Chile, Bulgaria and possibly Turkey(?) against Serbs, Huns, Poles, possibly Slovenians(?) and I would imagine Spaniards(?) (despite the fact that the last two were left outside the initial proposal).

But on the second scenario what is going to happen with Chile’s minion? Because Greece won't agree with the minion into the alliance and as we said Chile won't leave the minion.
If Argies are more pro Gr & Ro than pro Chile, BG and minions, the first option seems more possible compared to the second.
Question: Is Turkey going to follow the Serbs? I doubt it. That leaves them with one option to, Join ARGRO.
And what about the Croats? Are they really ready to ally with the Serbs and vise versa? I don't believe it. Will they leave Turkey now? So Cro will go with ARGRO.




Do you see where this is going? Cause I see a circle which makes absolute sense to me.

Don’t get me wrong! I like it and few years back when EDEN was dissolved I said that this is going to happen because life is a circle don't you think?


Iaswn