PowerSpin analysis
millyi
In the past days we had a PowerSpin (eating money) fortune wheel.
Before trying to spend all my CC on Plato’s creature, I decided to collect some data. Btw thanks to all who made a comment and shared the info.
DISCLAIMER:
The collected sample is really small, I hope to update it on the nextPowerSpin events. And as some of you probably know, a little sample of data can drive you to wrong conclusions, but it’s a start. That is why this analysis will continue in time.
DATA:
I asked players how many CC they spent to reach the 500 Gold jackpot. Sometimes it was the approximate number the players remembered. The others told the next spin cost. All these data were converted to total CC spent and was calculated the number of spins made to reach 500G.
On the plot above you can see the distribution of number of spins with two different bin sizes (10 and 5)
It seems like a skewed normal distribution (see disclaimer) with the mode on the bin of 40 spins.
What makes me worry is this right tail 😃
and soon you will see why
The next is the CC spent and the net CC win. The net win was calculated assuming the gold price of 550 CC.
As already mentioned the right tail effect is that some players spent much more CC to win 500G. You can see it in the negative net win. In the worst case from the collected data the net loss can reach 1kk CC. So if you are poor and unlucky (like me) maybe at some point it’s better to stop 😃
The Average net win was 63k CC.
If we all were lucky (and how to make everyone lucky, filter away some values… was curious and filtered away the values of CC spent over 500k) the average net win would be of 11k CC.
BUT, but as already said, we have this big tail… so you could spend more than 1250k CC or more to reach the final jackpot.
3 DAYS
It seems a good idea to test your fortune in all 3 days of the event. If in one out of 3 you happen to be on the loss tail, the other 2 should limit the loss.
PS If someone wants to help this analysis please share your results. You can leave a comment or send me a pm 😉
PPS You should be ready to spend at least 80-90k CC if you are lucky.
PPPS Read well the disclaimer 😃
so you don’t say millyi told me to spend all my CC in PowerSpin
Comments
Questa moda dei grafici sta sfuggendo di mano XD
Ottima analisi, nel mio caso ho usato una strategia meno rischiosa ma che garantiva un guadagno minimo certo. Con una spesa in media di 12k cc al giorno riuscivo ad assicurarmi abbastanza Stinger (9 o 12) più qualche barretta, in modo da andare facilmente ad SH usando barra piena + Stinger + eventuali barrette vinte. 30 gold senza rischi e senza toccare la mia riserva di barrette.
Si anche io ci ho preso così la SH e qualche booster e basta
1st day - 270kcc
2nd day - 1.2milcc
3rd day - 30kcc
o7
o7 güzel analiz
spent 9m cc and got plenty of small bombs so that i am not into it
wasting time-money
Yes for you they are so useful 😃
O7
Small bombs are worthless, about 1/3 of a battle field hit. Even 5 mil bombs are over rated. I do like the 100000000 fat bomb however.
Great job, millyi
Vote and edorse
o7
thank you for your work, o7
Vote!
Nice analysis.
However, there are many who quit spinning before they reach the jackpot. For example someone spinned 100k, but didnt get the 3rd jackpot. How do this data fit in?
Someone spent here 1200k to get 500g
100k is quite close to the mode value, even not onnthe right tail
And the only question was how much did you spent to get 500g
3 días:
Each day i.spent 250 k (750k amount)
I won 0 golds.
In fact i get jackpoint only 5 times in 3 days
Veryyyyyyy unlucky
It kind of sucks....
Wish you luck for the next time!
o7
Eline emegine saglik.
o7
Very interesting, thanks
Thanks for sharing data
o7
Well done, millyi!
o7
o7 , respekt
o7
I've spent approx. 250k and couldn't get past the second jackpot star and quit.
Funny thing is, I got the 2 jackpot stars very early on.
I guess it is Plato's way of luring people into the scam.
I've never spinned past 4-5k before, but those 2 stars made me think it was worth it.
Nice con.
V.
if you are a woman, plato send you cc.
Thanks for your precious suggestion
Next time wont even write anything will directly go to Plato
Grafici! Wooot!