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Following the opinion of Xeroccona ( a reputed spanish analyst):
http://www.erepublik.com/en/article/-spqr-ultim-aacute-tum-de-usa-a-polonia-y-entrevista-al-cp-de-portugal-d-iacute-a-1785-2136287/1/20

An ultimatum has been given to Poland by USA. USA wants Poland to cut ties with Serbia and Hungary, (always under Xeroccona's opinion).

excerpt (translation is mine): "1- Si en 72 horas Polonia no termina sus MPP con Serbia y Hungría, USA atacará a Polonia, comenzando una guerra.

(If within 72 hours Poland doesn't remove its Serbia and Hungary MPPs, USA will attack Poland, provoking/triggering war.)


2- A su vez, si no rompe dichos MPP, USA firmará MPP con todos los países EDEN.
( Moreover, if Poland doesn't remove those MPPs, USA will sign MPP with every EDEN country).

Evidentemente esto tiene muchas connotaciones:
(lots of follow-ups)

1- Si USA ataca a Polonia ya podemos decir adiós a CTRL.
(If USA attacks Poland, that'd imply the end of CTRL)

2- A su vez, eso implicaría que España se ponga del lado de Polonia (la hermandad en Spoland es inquebrantable).
(That implies that Spain will remain at Poland's side ( brotherhood in Spoland is unbreakable) )

3- Dicho ataque podría propiciar la vuelta de ONE (a excepción de Macedonia).
(such an attack will trigger the return of ONE (except Macedonia))

4- Quedaría por ver cuál sería la situación de Brasil que se ha ido uniendo en hermandad con España y Polonia.
( It's unknown the position of Brazil, which has been getting close with Spain and Poland)
"

http://www.erepublik.com/en/article/your-move-henry-2136640/1/20