[CP] History, War, & Crystal Balls
Sperry
“Sperry takes this more seriously that his RL,” Wally cleaver writes to a new player in the IRC. And I suppose most of the time he’s right - I have all but convinced myself to spend the next few weeks absorbed in this pixelated world, so much so that I have trouble not monologuing at length to “the boy” about the geopolitical climate, my frustrations with what he mistakes for baby foods (and not CPs), and my strong urge to “tank” once I am strong enough. Tank is not a verb in the real world.
Two Weeks In
Today marks the end of week 2 of this term; 6 weeks total for Canadians to put up with me in the big comfy couch. A lot of the news items this week have been fairly similar: with our fronts calming down slightly and TEDEN and ONE both poising for new strikes, the news day is thinner on the ground and much more related to what could happen, or what will happen very shortly.
In these past two weeks, I’ve found myself more tired than I did last year, but also happier overall. I spent less time figuring out what to do, and felt more comfortable in certain rooms than some of my freshman counterparts. And while we had plenty of battles last year, this term I got to push the “attack” button in a way Acacia himself would enjoy, which was much nicer than just RWing Alberta 5 times in a row.
Does it Count as Foreshadowing?
...If it’s happened before? Last week, Glove (a former American President) produced an article suggesting we’d be heading toward another North American invasion. He’s not the first to suggest it - certainly it’s come up in this paper once or twice. But as the term moves onward, it’s getting harder for layfolk to continue to pass up on the telling signs of the European map.
Hungary’s new position in France, alongside the American colonies, has reduced the Franks to a narrow strip up the lower third of their country. Most of the French regions are the only border preventing the Americans and Huns from going into direct conflict. Serbia and Slovenia, too, have finished their galavanting journey about Italy. If you know borders, you’ll know that the Serbs are in a position to NE the French, which is an easy access route to the American colonies forming part of that straddle.
Right now I rate the odds of a North American invasion at about 26%. The Polish have relinquished their border with Canada, which would have been a capital entry point since our regions are easier to claim than the Americans’ (and fewer to take, too). While Serbia certainly can come across France, their renewed interest in Croatia’s regions is delaying any plans for that move by at least a week. only Hungary and Spain are reasonably well positioned for the move, and while the Hungarian borders are less uncertain for ONE, their mixed success in Spain are not promising signs of conquest.
So it comes down to a Cold War scenario. Will we continue to guard the Atlantic Hornberg, or will our American friends strike out in a new and unexpected direction to reduce that 26%? Stay tuned, folks, for these are interesting times - even if today is not.
Comments
CATMAXXX
Funny, I only got 25.5% chance of invasion. Where did you get that extra 0.5%?
Then again, I did 'tank' in math class during high school, so I could easily be wrong on that. (did gooder in English class, fortunately)
I had to divide by zero to get my percentage, it gave me ERROR 1. So, 1%?
No, I think that ERROR message means dividing by ONE before multiplying by zero. Give that a shot then get back to us on the results, Ardikus.
Hahahaha.... you guys are a riot. Punny people you are!
I must admit Sperry I enjoy your articles and nice to see canada has a good CP this term.
As long as Ireland holds Scotland there is a way for Poland to attack you.
Poland? They know better.
Articles 'erry day, I like.
Poland? They know better x2 ^__^
It really depends. In the next few weeks probably not, but I think that ONE wants to secure europe before heading west. Ukraine, Croatia and Romania will be the first targets
Also, you have the variable of China. Whether they will be able to make big advances in Spain is a question of organization in EDEN. I don't think that they will, just as a concern of logistics. However, another interesting possibility would be the U.S. or Brazil breaking the treaty with Spain.
I think that N. America is safe for the next few weeks though, with Poland and Serbia focusing on europe. Hungary probably foes not want open conflict with America until it has allied support.
Good article!
I hope you continue writing even after your term is up, because you have a good, sharp, unbiased eye toward current events.
Damn Plugson beat me to the comment...
The annual eCanada summer invasion may be early this year? Will William Duncan be revived earlier as well?
It seems to me that USA wants war more than ONE does, though that's an obviously biased view.
The odds of the war hitting North America in some form or another are almost certain. North America has a month and a half to prepare, max.
*evil laugh*
The irony is bringing tears to my eyes.
"Will William Duncan be revived earlier as well?"
[thoughtfully] William Duncan. Duncan...Now, that's a name I've not heard in a long time. A long time.