Friction on the Fault Line: Peace between Iran and Pakistan hangs in the balance.

Day 133, 16:59 Published in USA USA by Desertfalcon
Peace between Iran and Pakistan hangs in the balance.

Quetta, Pakistan- This capital of the west Pakistani province of Balochistan used to be a safe worry free place to live, until recently. Over the past month there have been feelings of resentment between these two Asian nations. Despite the shared feelings the border provinces continue to grow, some local press releases in Pakistan have been supporting migration to the city of Quetta, the capital of a key border region in Pakistan with experienced a 33% growth rate in the month of March.

However these migrations have been occurring on the Iranian side of things as well. In the Iranian border province of Sistan and Baluchistan the city of Zahedan has also experienced a population boom. In the month of February this region underwent a six fold increase and quickly became the second most populated city in Iran behind Tehran and with three times as many citizens as Fars, the city in third.

The Pakistanis have grown their numbers to outnumber the Iranians by five to three in the border regions and greatly win the battle of military strength 2,425.4 to 1,174.45 and if they managed to take Zahedan the other regions have very small populations and could be overrun fairly quickly. That is not to say however, that a Pakistani offensive into Iran would be easy. Both regions are home to level three hospitals.

This conflict may look dim for Iran should war break out but if they can strike a mutual protection pack with a nearby power they may be able to hold out, remember mutual protection pacts are only enacted when a country is invaded. So even though Pakistan has a mutual protection pact with Indonesia, Indonesia can stay out of the war if it wishes. In fact Indonesia may benefit from this war if Pakistan gets beat up Indonesia can become the uncontested power in that area.

Today is a pivotal election day in that the elected presidents of both countries could become the next war time presidents, for Iran to be successful their next president must realize the immediate threat Pakistan posses and beef up defenses as well as striking an alliance with a nearby power. If the Pakistanis wish to win they must strike Iran when the iron is hot and not give them a chance to train up a new army. Pakistan must also take advantage of the fact that Iran has 1/3 of as dense of a population as Pakistan with an average of 134.6 people per region in Pakistan and only 46.75 in Iran.

Although out manned and out gunned, Iran should be able to hold out if they stay on the defensive, yet the big question and probably what will be the deciding factor in this conflict remains. Who will Indonesia support?