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The results of the presidential poll are in, and they provide an interesting look into what could be one of the most competitive elections in many months. In total, 44 people participated in the two polls: one with Erdoni as a candidate, another without him as a candidate.




The first poll question asked who voters would support if President Erdoni sought re-election. A solid 59.09% said with certainty they would support Erdoni. This was far ahead of the next closest - Patar333, who had 15.9%. Luis Grindl came in third place, with 6.81%. And with 2.27% came Cehansen, in fourth place. With only 15.9% undecided - too small a number to swing the election - and Erdoni in possession of a majority, this would seem to be an endorsement of his presidency from those who participated. Here are the full numbers.

Name --- Votes --- Percent
Erdoni --- 26 --- 59.09%
Patar333 --- 7 --- 15.9%
Luis Grindl --- 3 --- 6.81%
Cehansen --- 1 --- 2.27%
Undecided --- 7 --- 15.9%

It is also interesting to look a bit further, and split these numbers by party affiliation. Erdoni received the support of 78.57% of the ÖIP, and 75% of the C.o.L.T. In both the RPÖ and PHP, he received 50%, and in the ACoP he earned 42.85%. Amongst those unaffiliated with any party, he received 33.33%. With strong support virtually across the board, it strengthens the earlier findings.




With all this said, Erdoni will not be running for re-election - thus the race changes very much. Poll two addressed this possibility, asking who voters would support if Erdoni did not seek re-election. Patar333 recieved the most votes, achieving 29.54% of the vote. The next highest total was recieved by Luis Grindl, with 18.18%, followed by OEBernd, with 13.63% of the vote. Mani LeLe and Cehansen finish the list with 2.27% each, and 9.09% selected “other.” 27.27% listed themselves as undecided. Here are the full numbers.

Name --- Votes --- Percent
Patar333 --- 13 --- 29.54%
Luis Grindl --- 8 --- 18.18%
OEBernd --- 6 --- 13.63%
Mani LeLe --- 1 --- 2.27%
Cehansen --- 1 --- 2.27%
Other --- 4 --- 9.09%
Undecided --- 12 --- 27.72%

With Erdoni’s exit, the race becomes far more wide open. No candidate achieved a majority - instead, Patar333 leads the pack at roughly a third, with Luis Grindl trailing by about 10 percent. Again there is more to learn by examining the party numbers - first, those of Patar333. He recieved his strongest support from the PHP and C.o.L.T, with 50% in each. In the ACoP, he earned 42.85%, while in the RPÖ, he recieved 35.71%. In the ÖIP he recieved his lowest numbers, at 7.14%. Finally, among unaffiliated voters, he recieved 33.33% of the vote.

Next, the numbers of Luis Grindl and OEBernd. Luis Grindl recieved 28.57% of the RPÖ and ACoP, 14.28% in the ÖIP. Amongst the other parties and unaffiliated voters, he did not recieve votes in this poll. Meanwhile, OEBernd earned 35.71% of the ÖIP, and 25% of the C.o.L.T. He did not recieve votes in this poll amongst other groups.

Conclusions

Amongst the candidates listed, only Patar333 and Luis Grindl have expressed interest in running - and these are the two expected to be on the ballot on September 5th. While this poll is far from scientific or binding, we can take two main conclusions from it. First, with OEBernd supporting Luis Grindl, it is very plausable that this will swing many supporters from OEBernd, towards Luis Grindl. When Luis’ and OEBernd’s votes are combined, this bloc is roughly even with Patar333’s votes - giving each Luis and Patar about one third of the electorate.

This brings us to the second conclusion: while almost two third of the votes are are accounted for, over one third (38.63😵 are undecided or supporting another candidate that won’t be on the ballot. These votes are up in the air, and can swing the election either way between Patar333, and Luis Grindl.

The election therefore aims to be one that is credibly competitive - and could end up being quite close, as it is unlikely that all of the remaining votes will go to one of the two candidates. As each candidate will attempt to win over undecided voters, it presents a very interesting situation - one which will unfold in the coming days as we select our next president.