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Assalamualaikum & greetings

I begin with Allah blessed name,I praise Him and I glorified Him as He is ought to be praise and glorified.I pray for peace and blessing on all His noble messengers,on our father Adam a.s,on our father Abraham a.s,on Mosses a.s,on Jesus a.s and on his blessed mother the virgin Marry and on the last of them all the blessed Prophet Muhammad (peace and blessing be upon him).Allah blessed be upon them all.

Today I would like to present my personal analysis in the current situation of the Middle East region and how it will effect eSaudi Arabia in the future.

eGreece & eTurkey

Currently a war is raging between eGreece and eTurkey.At first the Greeks have the upper hand but since this morning the Turks are beginning a counter attack on the Greeks and probably in a week time both countries will return to their original border.



There are three version on why this war are being wage by both countries and they are

1. The Greeks is pressuring the Turks to accept peace treaty and they have no intention to occupied it because they just don't have the resources to maintain an occupational force.

2. The Greeks and the Turks are actually plan this war together.The main reason is to make their people less bored and at the same time it is like a training war.Rumors about peace talk between the two countries are spreading like wild fires.

3. The Greeks and the Turks are working together.The Greeks wanted to move towards Asia so they doing land swapping with the Turks and when this is done they will sign peace treaty.But this version seems to be unlikely because the Turks are counter attacking the Greeks and they are taking back their regions.

Effect On eSaudi Arabia




No matter what the outcome may be it will probably end with status quo and the signing of peace treaty between both countries.This is not really good for eSaudi and the surrounding countries because now they can focus in expending in other directions.



For the Greeks they don't have any oil resources and salt paper.They can rent some of the region from eEgypt or eSaudi but in long run it is very expensive thus attacking eEgypt or eSaudi than create a colony in regions where those resources are located is a more logical solution.

For the Turks their situation is more in disadvantages because they don't have oil,iron and aluminium.This mean their defense industry is really low in productivity and all of those resources in which they need are abundant in eSaudi.

The possibility for an invasion from the Turks are low and the reason is because of eIsrael.eIsrael is known to be a loyal ally to the Greeks and to counter this the Turks needed allies in the Middle East in particular eEgypt and eSaudi so they probably going to rent regions from eSaudi.Beside that even thou if the Turks have peace agreement with the Greeks the possibilities of hostility is always there. It is hard to avoid that when you have RL hatred with each others that run for hundred of years.

eIsrael Reactions

With the introduction of eEgypt,eSaudi Arabia and eUAE, eIsrael is now not alone anymore in the Middle East. In eIsrael there are two groups now in deciding their future polices with the Arab states.



Greater eIsrael May Be A Reality???

First Group :

This group are considering a friendly approach to the Arab states.They are suggesting in proposing Neutral Enemy either to the eEgypt or eSaudi to create a training war.

Second Group :

The second group is considering an aggressive approach towards the Arab states.All this time eIsrael have to content with its original regions because they are surrounded with powerful nations and now a door of opportunities has opened for them to expend their influence and gain a much needed resources.

Conclusion

In term of eGreece and eTurkey we must have good relationship with both nation but I suggest that we must have a constant MPP with eTurkey because they are less likely to be aggressive towards the Arab state than the Greeks.

For eIsrael I presume they are smart enough to know that any aggression towards the Arab states will raise RL hatred no just among the Arabs community but also with the Muslim community overall especially if they attack eSaudi which control both Mekkah & Medina.

No matter how much we want to run from RL issues we just can't do it.The proof is eIndonesia - eMalaysia and eGreece - eTurkey conflicts.I might be wrong in certain points but this are all based on the resources that I've gathered and my personal opinion alone.


Your Truly,

Noveras "Really Looking At The Future of eKSA"

Jazakallah