Can Poland and Hungary really get to China? - Take 2

Day 1,935, 05:08 Published in China China by mihail.cazacu

Poland's attack on Russia was followed by Hungary's Declaration of War against Russia as well.

If the Hungarian DoW passes then it looks like Poland and Hungary are trying again to get to China. As long as only Poland would have attacked Russia, Poland's official excuse that "we had to attack, because our players are bored and leave the game" might have had some credibility.

Hungary on the other hand had no reason to go after Russia, except for one: China's currency reserves are so high that Poland alone ran a very high risk of failure.

By attacking China with both Poland and Hungary via the "Northern Route" and, quite likely, with FYROM and Serbia via the "Southern Route", TWO hopes to deplete the Chinese reserves and thus increase the probability of a successful invasion.

The problem with this plan is the Chinese treasury can match Poland + Hungary + Serbia + FYROM treasuries and still have 4 million CC to spend on additional defense. Even if somehow the Americans, whose foreign policy is a mess since last July, decide to also join the attack, China has enough resources to arm and feed enough mercenaries and allies to defeat all the attacks.

Cand any good come out of this?

Yes, provided EDEN sets its priorities right. As long as the war with Russia continues, Bulgaria and FYROM would be much easier to evict from the Middle East.

It is hard to predict if the attack of TWO on a member of CoT would significantly change CoT policy towards EDEN but it is worth trying to first eliminate FYROM and Bulgaria from the Middle East and then to offer them the possibility to invade TWO's territories, this time with EDEN's blessing and support.

Bulgaria and FYROM cannot be both on good terms with EDEN and in the Middle East because there's no way to connect their cores to the current Middle-Eastern territories they hold in a way that doesn't imply screwing up some EDEN countries.

On the other hand, the rivalry between FYROM and Bulgaria on one side, and Greece and Turkey on the other side, is asymmetric: Greece and Turkey do not get any thrills from fighting FYROM or Bulgaria. Those wars exist only because some people from FYROM and Bulgaria feel good about scoring "victories" on a computer screen and thus compensating for failures in Real Life.

If somehow reason prevails both in FYROM and Bulgaria, then CoT can start acting like an alliance with a backbone, and kick TWO's butt for the unprovoked attack on Russia.

TWO has the merit of grouping the countries with the longest history of rogue behavior in eRepublik (yeah, birds of same feather do flock together). In the Real World they would correspond to an alliance formed by North Korea, Zimbabwe, Myanmar (Burma) and Sudan. So the only reason CoT was allied with them until recently was because of the visceral hatred against Greece and Turkey some players in FYROM and Bulgaria had.

I am skeptical hatred would be defeated by dignity, but miracles sometimes do happen.

So the first step for EDEN would be to evict Bulgaria and FYROM from the Middle East and then, instead of stupidly looking for "revenge", to attempt a peace treaty and an alliance against the certified rogues of eRepublik.