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“...the ratings agencies' problem was in being unable or uninterested in appreciating the distinction between risk and uncertainty.”
― Nate Silver

Ratings don't last. Good journalism does.
― Dan Rather

This time it isn't even a rating. Not even weekly or monthly. Don't ask why.
― me


First of all I should thank everyone who commented on the Pilot FUI issue. It's always a blessing when you see you could still compose a media project which could have some critical acclaim. My special gratitude goes to Gnilraps and WildOwl, who supported the idea from the start, and to Hadrian X and Aramec who hit the media with a lovesome review and a review of a review (sic!) and guided me along the way.
Now f*** me and all of them, and let's get to the point.

Damn right you are. Any rating should be predictive; any rating is a tool not only to give due assessment to past and present activity, but to predict the future. FUI methodology is biased for now, as I have told, for it relies primely on my own vision; with the expert panel with people from various parties and MUs introduced, it will be more precise. Under current circumstances though, in order to keep myself in order, I have to look to the future to make the rating better.

Below is a list of possible stories for America which may get us F***D-UP or not come early August, depending on how we handle them.

Success or Failure Purely Tossed-Up: The Big Turmoil, -1,5 to +1,5
Every big alliance, not only PACIFICA, is somewhat internally F***D-UP. In some cases, totally F***D-UP. Should at least one of them, especially Asteria, break loose in August, we'll have something to capitalize on or spoil everything, with big wars arising out of the closet.
In case of PACIFICA the goods and bads are more easily grasped. Both candidates for our CP elections, Tyler Bubblar and Resoula, want to see PACIFICA more organized and having sustainable long-term rules. Whether these could be implemented or not, and whether these will work or not, especially on Hungarian-Romanian issue, will be a yuuuuge FUI Foreign Section story for August.

Success or Failure leaning Success: The Final Russian Resolution, -0,5 to +1,0
The Russian situation will finally be dealt with next month, regardless how. Should Resoula win, a more hawkish approach is predictable; for Tyler the Russian story will not be on top of his agenda, but he'll have to deal with it anyway. Signs indicate Russia will be eager to negotiate, and this will end up either restoring our long-lost bromance to some extent or them leaving the premises.
I am not a supporter of the second option, not due to my background, but due to the fact that America doesn't need another troublemaker on the Western border, moreover with Balkan MPPs, given that our war activity is largely to the East. Russia leaving PACIFICA also means instability for the land of the Bear itself: it could end up fighting Romania or its current PACIFICA allies, and the big story will get us involved anyway, which will deflect our FA's attention from stories which could benefit America.

Likely Success: The BrEnter, -0,2 to +0,5
How we handle the Redcoat fun is another issue for August. If UK's allies truly put up some sort of fight, this may become fun, although damaging fun. As for now, the forecast is positive.

Likely Success: The Awesome Elections, -0,4 to +1,0
Tyler and Resoula will have a really close and competitive election, with one of them winning by a small margin, most likely. Regardless of some necessary infighting in the process, we'll most likely have a PotUS with a legitimacy won in a hard fight, which will pressure him to promote his agenda with more vigor and energy.
Dirty moves from some of the people supporting this or other team may trigger scandals, though. We know how it happens usually.
Also note the Speaker elections coming soon, where Aramec will meet Animis. This is going to be fun!

Likely Success: EPA & Airplane Stuff, -0,2 to +0,4
With a freshborn agency running anti-pollution issues, and another story regarding possible solutions as to how USA works to have a classy team of airborne fighters, which will be discussed on executive and legislative level, we're likely to see some fresh stuff incoming. Most likely it will end up good, as any player-made change is good after all.

Likely Failure: Executive Stability, -0,6 to +0,2
Transition may not work very well if one candidate wins, given his idea of bringing fresh people into some of the big offices. The current team, which the other candidate is likely to keep mostly intact, may be hit with tiredness and laziness. Even including myself. Uh oh.

Likely Failure: Overall Activity, -0,3 to +0,2
Ah, August, my sweet summer child. Being summer, it most likely triggers low activity and decreasing numbers of players and fighters. However, with Michael Jordan-style comebacks of people like fingerguns, the community as a whole may actually produce some fun. We shall see.

Likely Success: Quality Media, -0,2 to +0,5
Hadrian is not going anywhere from what I see, and neither is Custer. Moreover, the CP candidates are eager to spill some events onto the media, which is always fun and useful. I'll munch on these with good appetite.

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Of course we will see other fresh stories, titanic breakthroughs or black swans along America's way. But the above will likely be part of the big theatrical play we see.
August will show how F***D-UP we end up, but most likely we'll progress to make Murica greater (no walls being built, though).

And now comes the sweet part. With five people giving the pilot FUI marks on a scale from 1 to 5, ranging from 3.3 to 5.0 (5.38 isn't legit enough, sorry RevlisEtan), the average mark is 4.22, which is closest to shadowber's assessment of a "solid 4". Our good anti-werewolf mayor got 75 q5 tanks from me for being that precise.

Enlist on FUI Expert Panel for August and forever!
You'll be the ones giving marks to any event happening.
Requirements: be active, respected in the community, represent a big party, MU or media entity. Gnilraps was the first to enlist, so he gets a hug.

Don't hesitate to comment and share your ideas for a bright new shining August 2016 for America.

Thanks to Hadrian X for moral support and Pfeiffer being Pfeiffer.

This article has been presented to you by my cat