Epic Warfare Analysis / Analyse
djirtsdew
[Nederlands onderaan]
I noticed the article of our MoD, and I agree with the criticism that influence was irrelevant last week.
The tournament was about Prestige Points, so in this article, I will completely disregard any other information, although for building up your military rank of course it makes sense to fight with Q7.
All of the figures are based on everyone participating, also those who only joined the last day. So the average PP figures will slightly underestimate the real average PP (because people who had 0 up to that point are included).
Also the order is based upon the final order.
Figure 1: share of the total daily PP done shown as a pie graph. The top 25 (coincidentally precisely those ending above 5k PP) indeed all did a marvelous job, especially on day 5.
Figure 2: the total PP for the top 10 players, shown at the end of each day.
Figure 3: the average PP of everyone participating, and only the top 25. Note that the graphs are surprisingly linear. I would have expected an initial jump, and then a slower increase for day 2, ever accelerating towards the end (as the energy regen gets higher and higher).
Figure 4: the average PP with some people excluded. Note: if only 60 of us had participated we would have ended at place 9 or 10. On the other hand, excluding our top 5 would have left us at place 26, and excluding our top 10 would have landed us at place 56. These people did a great job!
Ik heb het artikel van ons MoD gelezen, en ik ben het eens met de kritiek dat influence irrelevant was afgelopen week.
Het ging om de Prestige Punten, dus daar zal ik me in dit artikel op richten. Influence en dergelijke negeer ik, al heeft het voor het opbouwen van je militaire rang natuurlijk wel zin om te vechten met Q7 wapens.
Alle figuren zijn gebaseerd op iedereen die uiteindelijk meedeed, ook diegenen die bijvoorbeeld op de laatste dag pas instapten. Dus de gemiddelde PP zal iets lager zijn dan de waardes tijdens het toernooi, omdat ik mensen met 0 PP die uiteindelijk wel meededen vanaf het begin meetel.
Ook is de volgorde overal gebaseerd op de eindvolgorde, niet op de plaats in de tussenstand.
Figuur 1: Aandeel van de totale PP als taartdiagram. De top 25 (precies diegenen met minstens 5k PP) heeft een geweldige prestatie geleverd, vooral op dag 5.
Figuur 2: de totale PP aan het eind van elke dag voor de top 10 spelers.
Figuur 3: de gemiddelde PP van iedereen die meedeed, en alleen de top 25. Wat opvalt is dat de grafieken bijna lineair zijn, terwijl ik had verwacht dat dag 1 zou beginnen met een flinke sprong, en dan een langzamere toename voor dag 2, en een geleidelijk toenemende stijging, omdat de energie steeds sneller werd aangevuld.
Figuur 4: de gemiddelde PP met een aantal mensen niet meegenomen. NB: Als alleen de top 60 had meegedaan waren we 9e of 10e geeindigd. Aan de andere kant: als onze top 5 spelers niet hadden meegedaan waren we op plek 26 geeindigd, en zonder onze top 10 spelers zelfs op plek 56. Deze mensen hebben het echt goed gedaan!
Comments
A much better analyses indeed. The rise in PP at the end was most likely caused by the fact fighting became harder due to the issues that we had. That did cost me and others no doubt as well several k's of prestige the last 2 days.
Still working on my own analyses which I hope to publish tonight latest. Nice to see you took a few different perspectives to look at it so with the two combined we have a rather thorough analyses.
The server may have had a "maximum daily PP limit", and have overloaded as soon as it had to process more fights. So indeed that might explain the roughly constant instead of increasing daily PP towards the end.
Also the first day, people may have intended to do more, but also ran into these server issues.
Oh, I'm of course also looking forward to your article.
I can think of some figures I haven't generated, so I'm interested to see if they are in your article, or maybe we can even make a third article on the topic. 😉
In any case, there is a lot of data to analyse, and hopefully we can learn from it for the next epic tournament...
Nice !
Still shocking tho that so many people end up in #26-67. Are those people unaware a tournament is going on? Were they not well enough informed? Did they not understand the impact? Did they miss the opportunity gold-wise to stay out for a week? Didnt they care? Did they have RL troubles?
Why...
I did include the Chilean people. So around 10 of these people in #26-#67 did not have this opportunity gold-wise, and probably didn't care that much about the effects of their fighting on eNL's performance...
The other ~30 apparently either failed to reach their personal goals, or started uninformed. I don't believe they were intentionally trying to sabotage our performance.
Oh: to add on this: the main reason for failing to reach their personal goals was probably the lack of epic battles in D1-D3. Too few people actually participated in those divisions, making it very rare for battles to go epic.
The people with high strength had a backup plan: becoming Battle Heros which at least gave them 2 PP/hit. Not the amount they were hoping for at the start, but just managable. But also that option wasn't really there for those with lower strength, so they just ended up underperforming.
yeah that was 1 of the things why i didn't manage to get my personal goal, plus missing most of Sunday due to being out. Getting bh or at least top 5 every time did make sure i ended closer to my goal.
Thanks for this wonderful article. Really appreciate the effort you put into it!
Great analyses! I love statistics and what if's :3
I guess day 5 was the first day we saw proper epic battles for D2/3?
I guess so too. And it was Saturday, which means more people had time to be online. It definitely was a great day for most of the people participating.
o7
tl;dr 😛
I didnt have enough time over the weekend 🙁
And when I did have time again the server fuckups started
Great analysis!
nice breakdown...
Nice work, but what happend on day 5?
What do you mean?
As can be seen in the top-10 figure, MafCeez and The Valeyard did slightly less PP that day than other days, so as a result the top-3 underperformed a bit.
On the contrary, a lot of the players who ended in the top-25 actually had their best performance. Many wars went epic, also in D2 and D3. Also because it was Saturday, it was weekend, and people had some more time on their hands. So if you look at the last 2 graphs, you actually see an upwards jump (the clearest in the last figure for the line without #1-#5), showing that day 5 really was a remarkably good day PP-wise.
But probably the same is true for other countries. These things I mentioned here are similarly valid for other countries, and I think it's extremely likely that also for them day 5 was the best.
As a result we simply stayed on the 11th spot.