[Kemal Ergenekon] Predictions that actually matter
Kemal Ergenekon
Fellow eAmericans,
It seems like making predictions about the future is the new trend. So in this article I will make some predictions. Unfortunately, these predictions are neither regarding petty politics about who hates whom nor about which party increased their numbers in congress by a whopping 5%.
Without further ado, here are my predictions:
Prediction Number 1: eUS will fail to install its own dictator.
On February 26, I thought about everything that has been revealed about how the new dictator feature worked, and the reality sank in. I wrote a post in the PDB regarding how a foreign military power could easily enslave the country and inflict damage beyond a conventional PTO could achieve in less than a day. I will get into the nasty details in my next prediction.
Many individuals in the PDB agreed that it was a vital threat, and installing our own dictator as a first line of defence was backed nearly unanimously. The discussion was carried to USWP party forums, and culminated in Gnilraps' post on the private forums.
Later on some posts have been leaked about some members joking about installing a dictator without the approval of the congress, and some probably not joking. You can find the leaked images yourselves and fap about how evil USWP is, that this is all work of the
Here comes my first prediction: Because of these stupid leaked images, eUS will not install her own dictator who would have been a simple button clicker at the behest of the meta-congress. After seeing how people I previously assumed to be rational players acted when they saw these images, I have lost all my hope. And you know what? I think an e-country who cannot unite in such a critical game mechanics change and lets everything go down the sh*tter does not deserve to succeed anyway. But let's move on...
Prediction Number 2: eUS will be overtaken by a dictator who is an enemy citizen.
Conditional on my first prediction being realized (and I am pretty confident it will be realized), one day the enemies of the country will start their civil war, and install their own dictator within a day.
For those who are still not up-to-date on the mechanics, let me go through all that will happen:
1) Our enemies will coordinate an attack, probably over several days. One enemy citizen leading a MU in eUS will start the civil war. We already have Serbian MUs in our country, and RGR would be more than happy to give away his own MU in any case. It is not a constraint.
2) The civil war will be started at the exact time when most eAmericans and MU commanders etc are not online. This might be when the West Coast people go to sleep, etc. All the enemies will be mobilized, and they will join the enemy MU. They don't require citizenship to fight. They will win several easy rounds before we even can put up a resistance. They will turn it into an epic battle, so that it lasts shorter than your usual campaign.
3) Then we will wake up. Against us will be all enemies of eUS, and every mercenary you can imagine. Why, you ask? Because the reward is so valuable that no amount of CO will be too low for our enemies to spend. I will expound on how much they can expect to make further below.
4) We will lose. We probably won't even have the CO cash at hand, and seriously, can we stand against all our enemies arrayed against us? We are not a top military power any more. We don't have the highest tax revenue in the world any more. We. Will. Be. Crushed.
5) An enemy citizen will become the dictator of eUS. He will gain the control of all government organizations, but we will have moved all the money away from those organizations if one of our CBO officers logs on before the campaign ends. He will have two choices: enacting maximum taxes under which production is still profitable, or enacting arbitrarily high taxes. I will discuss each scenario:
6a) If the dictator chooses maximum taxes under which production is still profitable, the work tax will probably be raised to the exact level in which Q5 RM companies are barely profitable. Some napkin math tells me this amounts to roughly 14.7 CC per WaM click. This corresponds to a work tax Rate of 41.56% given our current average wage of 35.37 USD. Since work tax cannot be increased above 25%, the dictator will increase the average wage first. This is very simple: You get a friend as an employee. You pay him, say, 100,000 CC as wage. When he works, he increases the average wage tremendously. Some of this money goes to your friend who sends the money back. The rest goes into the treasury, but you are the dictator, so again it goes into your pocket. So the work tax per click can be set arbitrarily high.
Given that our current revenues are 120,000, knowing that nearly all our daily revenue comes from work tax, the enemy dictator would make 415600 USD per day in tax revenue if we all continue to work. He alternatively can set a lower tax rate so that you don't leave the country immediately or not work just to spite him. In this case he would still make at least 250000 USD per day. He would break-even on the civil war cost within the first day.
Oh, and as a bonus, VAT rates will be set to 25% so that you will either be giving one fifth of your money to him with each purchase, or you need to move to another country to buy your supplies. Also, if you don't have a foreign market license, you cannot sell your stuff. Good stuff.
6b) If the dictator chooses arbitrarily high taxes, he will again use the trick to raise the work tax per click, but this time he will set it to a stupendously high amount like 100 USD per WaM click. Some people who aren't aware of the events will continue to produce and lose all their money. Others will have to change citizenship as long as they wish to continue using their factories. Legitimate eUS citizens will have to leave for other countries to have a fighting chance, decreasing the number of real eUS players in the country.
7) The dictator will use all CS passes to admit enemy citizens. These citizens will form a new Top 5 party and be the seeds of a permanent political PTO just like AFA in the old days.
8 ) After the minimum amount of days have passed, we will start the liberation war. If our CBO managers were quick in transferring the money in the national organizations, we will have some ample reserves to fight, but our enemies will also put all their money on the table because the reward is a revenue above 250,000 USD every single day. That makes 7.5 millions in a month if you didn't notice. We will have a single chance to beat the dictator, but the odds will be stacked against us. If we win, we will have lost nearly all our reserves, and the next dictator attack by a foreigner will absolutely succeed, after which game is over. If we lose, game is over. I will now explain what game over means.
9) When we burn through all our reserves and lose control of the country, we will either quit the game, or change citizenship. The more we change citizenship, the higher the fraction of voting enemy citizens will become. In each month we fail to reclaim our country, more enemies will get citizenship, and they will be able to elect their own congressmen and own country presidents. This will create a foothold in the country regardless of whether future liberation wars succeed or not.
10) Once our enemies succeed in driving a sufficient amount of American players to other countries or out of the game, they will have the majority in the country. At this stage, they will elect their own country president, and lower the taxes to a normal level. They will use our country as a farming ground for their own citizens and allies since our core regions have 100/100/100 bonuses. They will live happily ever after, and we will have LOST THE GAME IN THE MOST HUMILIATING AND DEVASTATING WAY IMAGINABLE.
Prediction Number 3: Reading this article won't change the minds of most congressmen, and they will watch the country burn because of their petty politics:
As we all know, I am a Dirty Pluffering Commie Muslim iNCi Kebab American Bourgeoisie Class PTOer Traitor, so it won't change the minds of most players. Some will say BAA, others will say "xxxx, how could you!", the rest will say "we will never give in to dictatorship! muh freedoms". In the end you will fail to coordinate and lead to game over.
It will be fun to watch, though. And if my predictions come true, I will write another article with the title "I TOLD YOU SO!", and simply link it to this one.
Happy trails,
Kemal Ergenekon
Dirty Pluffering Commie Muslim iNCi Kebab American Bourgeoisie Class PTOer Traitor
Comments
I for one welcome our Serbian overlords.
'Kemal Ergenekon
Day 2657, 18:17
I'm ready to pay 200k for a cool avvie border. Hit me up if you need a dictator who pays out of his own pocket 😎'
So is that why you offered the SFP 200K CC to be dictator?
http://i5.photobucket.com/albums/y187/PapaCerf/Kemal%20Dick_zpsxefbwvnp.png
2pac alive?
2pac alive in serbia, 2pac making album of serbia . fast rap 2pac serbia. we are rich and have gold now hahahaha ha because of 2pac... you are ppoor stink turk... you live in a hovel hahahaha, you live in a yurt
Dictator Wannabe Kemal Ergenekon's eUSA Forum Avatar
http://eusaforums.com/forum/index.php?action=dlattach;attach=8043;type=avatar
Your point?
That now you see yourself as another terrorist -Joseph Stalin, other than that I must admit you are pretty pointless....
Okay, I concede that your prediction article is more important than mine... 😕
Yours is more fun, xdxd.
Salmak sünnettir
salınanı salmak da sünnettir
Salınan yok
Yea, this is a bunch of paranoid ramblings. So Serbia is going to move roughly 800 citizens to Colorado and start a civil war to subdue us. They will also keep doing this by keeping 800 citizens constantly in Colorado to break all efforts to get our country back.
eUS matters so much to the world that Serbia will permanently dedicate 800 of their 2200 active players to subdue us for ez monehs.
they dont have to dedicate any thing, did you fight in at least 1 CW this week? i takes 30 sec to jump MU/location and fight, you need a q5 ticket for it. I was jumping from CW and country all week for epic/CO in CW's, you just need to be inform on which MU to fight in.
If USA loses his money they will never liberate from a dictator from Serbia/Romania/Chile if they dont want to let us free
it takes 6 clicks to jump from any MU from any place in the eWorld and fight in the CW:
Scroll mouse over Community - My Military Unit click it and click resign =2 clicks
Look at your friend shout (example) http://prntscr.com/6bj09t
click his link to the MU you want to fight in and then click the big green join button =2 clicks
click the link for the battle he provided and you are http://prntscr.com/6biwvz
click move and spend 1 q5 ticket=2 click
6 clicks to join the fight on the "right" side and you can haply click fight button to take democracy away or save it or what ever.
Welcome to the new eRepublick Dictator module
So the rest is silent organization, they dont need to be in Colorado to jump on us, they just need initial preparation like a mu here and cc and a few other MU commanders to help on it by sending soldiers when the time comes with the right feed msg, 3 h is not a big warning for us to prepare and even if you can aford 100 cc might not save you if they realy want the thing done.
What country will you move to?
I will spend all my money on the liberation war, including selling all my companies. Then I will stop actively playing, and use the game to speak with my friends via shout feed.
That's a very good idea.
I would love to see that actually! :w
You ain't left yet?
So your going to sell all your companies you bought with USA tax money good for you! Don't let the door hit you on the ass on the way out 🙂
I never bought any companies with USA tax money. Not everyone is a craven thief like you and your party buddies.
You and your INCI buddies stole allot but you lie and say you had nothing to do with it but you have sooo many companies and claim to never bought gold. wonder how you bought them ?
You can say what you will we payed back what was owed you never did. Go back to where you came from and dictate there.
I bought them with the money I made using legal means. You are too young to remember how Plato used the bot to buy moving tickets at ridiculous prices when the housing and ticket industries were discontinued. I sold tickets worth 20-40 CC at 2000-3000 CC to the bot. Anyone with some brain cells made a killing those days.
I don't have that many companies anyway. 2 Q7 weapons, and a bunch of Q4 and Q5 RM companies.
Are you satisfied? Of course not. Because you think everyone has to be a thief like you to make money in this game. Typical.
You really need to find something new to get at me with cause it is old. at least we support USA with supplies from the factories that we have paid the debt for. Your stolen INCI money went right into your terrorist pocket.
No money was stolen by iNCi during my tenure. As a group, we never invested in infrastructure either - we used our own infrastructure and used the government money to increase tank supplies per member.
But you are a racist xenophobe thief who thinks an atheist can support a Jihadist terrorism group. Why am I talking with you again?
You were the one with the ISIS leader as your pic on the USA forums saying it was funny. You should never have started this all up again and I would not even be posting. I prefer to not speak with you at all. As long as you keep my me and my party out your mouth and I won't have to say anything.
yav he he, thief.
She didn't say paid in full. also doesn't matter who it came from debt was paid. The only thing you really have to say is some old stuff that no one cares about. you bring it up just to stir the pot and you never stop with it. I will not continue to entertain you and bring myself down to your level any longer.
There's that FN racist card, Kemal you need to stop with that ****, you're beginning to sound like the Unnamed Citizen and his whining BS...geez.
Shut up.
Ouch. nice come back: Dawg!
Your last reaction was a lot more enjoyable, xdxd.
For those who missed it: http://i.imgur.com/b5vcOhG.png
http://i.imgur.com/b5vcOhG.png
Everyone needs to quit picking on Kemal. He's bored with the game and trying to find some way to exit with a bang. But Plato has crippled all but the troll module, so that's what we get. It's the final frontier!
HWF, I would really appreciate it if you would cease inferring RL titles and insults towards Kemal. It is offensive and actually I'm shocked you're doing it in more than one article.
Kemal, I would really appreciate it if you would stop implying that everyone in BSP is a thief. I've also seen numerous comments about that situation where is was agreed for the most part that the infrastructure value was repaid.
Jessina you are right but when someone posts a picture of an ISIS leader as their avatar to make fun of USA in the game it is not right. I have tried to be civil but all he keeps doing is taunting me until I become an ass.
Jessina: It was not paid in full, and it was not paid by the thieves who actually stole the money. It was told Firo paid the money.
Point is 'Econ Boy' it got paid, ledger even....
It was not. And the thieves are still here, claiming others are traitors when they are the ones who stole government money.
Queue epic end of days music.
Nice fiction.
o: !
Such hypocrisy!
It matters very little, who has their boot on my neck.
You'll always be a friend Kemal.
I hope you're wrong. I don't think you are.
population of Colorado: 284 Residents (243 citizens of USA)
this unspecified enemy must be mobilizing one hell of a coordinated mass move to precede the predicted overnight surprise attack.
our own Chosen One Dictator would be... "her own dictator who would have been a simple button clicker at the behest of the meta-congress" ...
really?
really?
maybe getting our own Dictator in place before we get attacked would be a good idea. maybe a great idea. maybe we ought to get to work on this right away.
but not this way.
not without an imminent enemy attack clearly being developed.
the situation is not SO urgent that we don't have time for a little Democratic process first.
Actually there has been long discussions in the congress on how to implement the idea, and the majority had reached a consensus. It was the leaks that were taken out of context which spoiled the whole democratic process. Maybe the SoH will move all the discussions to the public boards so that you can see them soon.
So in private Congress the 'cabal' currently in power discussed the best way to make 'their' guy an 'American Dictator'. So not only do you want the 10-20 million reserve, now you want America's Treasury also.
You're an FN swine, Kemal! Take you iNCi -a party who sold citizenships to the highest bidders- self on out of here and go the F home!
Take your racism elsewhere, troll.