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Cost/Benefit Analysis of eUK Expansion

1,821 jour, 09:31 Published in United Kingdom Royaume-Uni de The Equalist

This report covers the resources of the eUK and looking at the feasibility of expanding our borders in order to gain new resources. If you don’t want to read through this, you can skip to the findings in the concluding paragraph. First a little background. There are a total of 10 resources in the world: 5 for food (cattle, dear, fish, fruits, and grain) and 5 for weapons (aluminum, iron, oil, rubber, and saltpeter). Throughout the original twelve regions, the UK has two food resources (cattle and fish) and three weapons resources (aluminum, iron, and oil). How do these resources affect us? Having a resource creates a 20% bonus of production for raw materials. For example, having a rubber plantation gives you a base of 250 weapon raw materials. With three resources, you get a 60% bonus, meaning you get 250 +150, or 400 raw materials. How would further resources affect the UK’s economy?

At the time of this report, food raw materials (FRM) cost 0.03GBP each and weapon raw materials (WRM) cost 0.08 each. It is unclear how many of these materials are produced in the UK daily, so some estimates will have to be made. There are currently 2229 citizens in the eUK, with around 600 active based on election results. Since everyone has at least an iron mine and three grain farms, everyone makes at least 56 WRM and 147 FRM (based on current bonuses). The value of these resources are 4.48 GBP for WRM and 4.41 for FRM. With the current exchange rate of 1 gold = 345 GBP, this equals 0.0130 gold and 0.0128 gold respectively. In other words, individually this is a highly insignificant amount.

Currently, the eUK war with Belgium has allowed access to fruit, bringing a boost to FRM. Using the exact same numbers, this means that instead of 147 FRM, you produce 168. This equals 5.04 GBP, or 0.0146 gold. This is an increase of 0.63 GBP or 0.0018 gold per person per day. But enough of the individual level, what about the national level?

There are no statistics on how much raw materials the UK creates every day, so it is impossible to come up with a reliable estimate. So, let’s just multiply the numbers by 2229 (our current population). While there are an estimated 600 active citizens based on elections, those active might produce more than the mentioned amount. This gives current productivity at 124,824 WRM and 327,663 FRM. This equals9,985.92 GBP or 28.9447 gold for WRM and 9,839.89 GBP or 28.5214 gold for FRM. Again, these estimates are highly speculative. Using the 20% food bonus mentioned with having Brussels, this increases the national output to 374,472 FRM, an increase of 46,809. Monetarily, this brings the value to 11,234.16 GBP or 32.5628 gold. This is an increase of 1,394.27 GBP or 4.0414 gold daily.

Now for the cost of war and protecting regions from resistance wars. Again, the statistics are vague, and the total damage done by both sides can vary greatly from day to day. So let’s look at the cost of supplying weapons. Many assumptions have to be made, but first here are the facts. On the market, the cost of 1 Q7 weapon is currently around 20.00GBP (0.0580 gold). Many military units supply weapons, plus the MoD will supply weapons on certain days and during important battles. So let’s use the active population of 600 and say they use 4 Q7 weapons, whether it is from a supplier or their own money. Some might use more, some less, so 4 seems like a reasonable amount. The total cost of 2,400 weapons is 48,000 GBP (139.1304 gold). Individually, that is 80 GBP (0.2319 gold).

Even if you are not convinced these are reasonable numbers, looking at an increased profit of a few pennies per person at the cost of weapons to maintain that bonus is a highly expensive cost comparison. I did not even look at the cost of food, or how much it costs to produce weapons and food, all of which would only add to the cost of war. The reality is since raw materials for both weapons and food is so cheap and the cost to buy weapons is so expensive compared to the bonuses achieved, the costs outweigh the benefits.



Alphabethis 1,821 jour, 10:39

Excellent analysis

john12306 1,821 jour, 10:55

Many players out of those 600 active will in fact produce a huge amount of raw materials and therefore your numbers are a long way off. For example: I produce ~20,000 WRM/day so according to you I produce a 7th of the total output of eUK... I understand of course you have no access to figures but the estimates are way off.
When thinking is the war economically worth it you must also think that more players are active if there's a war; more taxes because more money is spent on weapons, etc etc

Niemand 1,821 jour, 12:34

Maybe the profit of a bonus is not that much, but you need to fight anyway. So fighting is free and bonus is nice. However taking a bonus from a friendly nation does weaken that nation and you much damage is friendly fire. Take a bonus from an enemy nation they can loose bonus and damage is good.

BaskB 1,821 jour, 12:48

Although the figures are out (as pointed out by john), I applaud the effort you have put into this and thus you have a V+S

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