The New Alliances

Day 2,182, 17:10 Published in Albania Albania by Al Punk

In the last 2 days we have seen a few tough wars on 2 fronts of the TWO alliance. Hard Battles on the Hungarian front and even harder being fought in Spain.

While Spain and Hungary are both dinosaurs of the TWO/One bastion, the wars have presented some new dynamics within TWO. The new-entries in TWO Romania, Greece, Argentina, Ukraine and Portugal had the upper hand in these conflicts resulting in los of territories for Spain and a lot of problems for Hungary. (of course Portugal and Ukraine are not TWO, but they are definitely new-entries).
This would not happen without the "neutrality" of Serbia (or maybe their passive stand against Spain {noticed a few CO-s by Serbian MUs in the Maine RW against Spain}).

Hypothetically there will be 2 new alliances (I am naming them THREE and FOUR, but they might be named FIVE and SEX as well) and they should like like this:

THREE

(Link)

vs.

FOUR

(Link)



Uncertainties!?
US will aim for neutrality at first and they might have it for a while. Neutrality will be the biggest mistake again (I hope US understands it sooner), they will eventually be a proFOUR alliance (Poland-Spain) especially since Croatia and Brazil might be crucial to the new alliance.

Indo will not want to join FOUR (Poland) of course, but I believe they have a strong bond with former CoT countries and by joining them they will have easy access on Oceania! (Think smart).
I hesitated in putting China with the second alliance, since it was mentioned that China will go with Romania.

To be honest I see Romania going after China as soon as the opportunity arises. There is something in China that Romania is looking since the beginning of this game.
If China goes with the first alliance, it will be the first to get the Romanian treatment.

The Turkish factor
There are some MPPs claimed to be unsigned, like Serbia-Turkey!

I find it difficult to see Serbia and Turkey in the same alliance but Turkey will be on the oposite alliance of Bulgaria and in the same as Argentina and Greece.
Albania (and Croatia) on the other side will never fight against Turkey and Turkey will never fight against them no matter what ... This will create another break within the alliances...

Success
The only option for FOUR to succeed is to attract in couple Indo&China + US. Without them, the numbers speak clearly for THREE


Edits:
Dr .Manhattan pointed out that Canada and NL will be on the same alliance. It might make sense for Canada to be opposed to SPoland but this will create a conflict in Northern America's. Another reason for USA to be neutral unfortunately.


In any case these are just speculations, but feel free to comment below and we can moderate this article together. Any change in the actual alliance will bring some fun to the game!
Scream and shout and let this article out:




The new alliances
http://www.erepublik.com/en/article/the-new-alliances-2339323/1/20