The Economist ~ Energy pack incoming!
Day 2,319, 11:12
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Published in Poland 
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by
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by Spite313
Dear friends,
I received an email today- probably many of you did- about a new “energy pack” coming tomorrow. The energy pack will have gold, bombs and energy bars, but most importantly will contain a 200 health house and +20 health per six minutes for all that buy it. This means many people, myself included, will have 40 health per six minutes as of tomorrow. That is 400 health an hour or 9600 a day. That means an insomniac player on a mission could burn through 96 Q7 guns in a single day using food fights alone.
Now there are two questions here, which are somewhat related. The first question is how many guns are used currently, and by who. Now according to the wonderful eGov, the daily ‘tank’ (number of hits) for the last week has hovered around 8 million per day. Now assuming half of those hits are with Q7 (it is probably more) that is 400,000 Q7 guns per day being used. Now how many people actually use them? Again according to eGov it is about 30,000. Now we already said half of hits will probably be from people fighting with rubbish guns or their hands, but the ratio won’t be the same for fighters. I guess about a third of fighters do half of the hits- and it’s a curve. Probably a tenth of fighters do a quarter of the hits.
Now it is that hardcore group - players who use 20 or so Q7 guns a day already - who this offer will affect. They are hitting to their maximum now, they will hit to their maximum with the new offer if they can. So let’s say out of the thirty thousand fighters, three thousand of them buy the pack. The admins make a cool thirty thousand euros (not bad, Plato) and three thousand people are doing double damage. Now if my totally speculated figures are about right, that hardcore group can now hit up to 48 more times a day. Let’s settle on an average of 30 times more. That’s about 90,000 more guns. Or a 25% increase in demand for weapons overnight.
They don't make 'em like they used to
What’s more, this is not a day or week long change. This is a permanent increase. Now the question is how much slack there is in the market- I guess food will run out first since that isn’t really something people invest in (except me HO HO HO). Next weapons will begin to slowly rise (initial spike when people panic buy, then fall, then slow rise). If there are a lot of idle Q7 factories lying around, I guess prices could stabilise. But I’m willing to bet there aren’t enough for it to happen without a signficant and lasting hike in prices. Possibly by as much as 4-6cc in the major economies, at least until the 150-200 extra Q7 factories needed to meet demand open. Not sound like much? That’s a cool 100-135k gold, or 447 maximum gold packs if you’re Romper.
In any case, I’ve been waiting for a big price rise to fill out my poor empty wallet and this should do nicely. Happy shopping!
Iain
lol
😃
6720 pp with food fights
if you didn't sleep
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Comments
first?
cool analysis as always..
nice o/
And those not getting the email will not be able to get the energy packs?
They probably emailed gold buyers. If you haven't been emailed, check your spam folders. But it'll be available to everyone tomorrow just like the other war packs.
I have never bought gold, but still got this mail from Plato. Check your mail again, must be there.
Buying this shit is not an option... 😃
Don't lie. You buy any shit that Plato offers 😃
Potem pa mi pošlji kaj (send a gift), da bom imel še več... 😃
Zdej nej ti pa kle en študent še pošilja kej 😒 Namest da bi ti men obubožanmu revežu kej kupu :/
Še sebi ne privoščim ne pa da bi nekemu klošarju... 😃
Jst sm pa mislu da si ti dobr po srcu pa skrbiš za manj priviligirane 😃
Saj skrbim za nekatere... Predvsem za one iz SD, da čimveč potrošijo... 😃
o/
o/
o/
v
Miau
v+
Good analysis as always.
o7
Finally a good offer!This will be the only one I will buy!
I hope wrm price will go up a bit.
v
Is that really a permanent increase? Didn't receive mail but had an impression of it being for 30 days according to here ( http://www.erepublik.com/en/article/power-pack-20-more-energy-every-6-minutes--2386731/1/20 )
The benefits last for 30 days like all other packs. I meant that assuming this pack follows the same pattern as the others, it will be available to buy every month and thus will constitute a permanent increase in demand.
I think they gonna take out the 20 energy / 6 min from the weekly rewards and put it in the pack ( it's unlikely you'll have 40 recover/6 min). Most people that didn't spent money before and got used with plenty energy (a lot of ppl complaining about it during the tournament) , will be tempted to spend money. So basically they got another "group" formed in few weeks into spending $$. Clever i may say.
It says in the email explicitly that they won't do that.
http://prntscr.com/34tlu8 this is the catch than. It's a one time buy. Average players, non money spenders, have it balanced with 20 energy /6 min. More then that it drives them empty of resources. I guess i was wrong, they targeted their loyal customers. No long term effect on the economy tho, slightly prices will go up a bit for the coming weeks but slowly and than back to normal.
Every pack ever has been a "one time buy". They're still there.
So "one time buy" it's a lie? Cuz i have no idea if they go away or not as i don't buy that shit.
yes it comes back every 30 days
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Nice article, Keers. Voted.
/me pages Kemal for further analysis.
"This is a permanent increase."
"So let’s say out of the thirty thousand fighters, three thousand of them buy the pack."
Pics or didint happyn.
...
Dont clap to Plato bull!@#t, and dont write "myself including", thats just disgusting :/
If people didn't buy the packs, there would he no game. I'm not poor that I can't afford to buy games, books and shit without pirating them. And 10 euros is like the price of two beers in the UK.
10 euros is a price of AAA game on steam 😉
And how much time do you spend playing that game in comparison to erep? I guess I have been here at least two hours a day for five years. That's probably at least 4000 hours, probably a lot more. Besides i can have both. I got 200 steam games, half of which I never play.
It is the cost of WRM that prevents me from running my q7 weapons at capacity.
yes, and many others (including me) too. I guess the real shortage are not the q7 factories. It will be the wrm factories.
nobody builded raw comps for months, because all are collecting gold and are waiting for the next raw comp. discount.
10 € ?
Maybe more 😛
9.90 😃
Good article. It is a good offer and even as hard core non gold buyer I was tempting to buy it (but decided not to buy it). Admins can earn a lot, more benefit for gold buyers ... what means that for the game. I don't know, but I will see. At least I can earn more from my food companies for some time, but on the long run people will adjust (buy some extra food, raw and weapon companies) and prices will become low again.
the only real advantage that this gives u is to access the 4000+ prestige points area easier, without using your EB stash. Basically owning 400 worth of ebs, will give you the possibility to do another 10k pp more (since plato subsidies the fighting to 60-66😵.