Poll: Results - Two Horse Race
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by Matthew.Cox
The results for the poll I (attempted) to carry out have been analysed, but before I reveal what the results are, I'd like to point out some errors that have compromised the accuracy of the poll:
- It was obvious that somebody had been putting Blue and Evil as an option repeatedly, so I took out entries that appeared within about 45 seconds of each other. This issue has been resolved and will not happen in future polls.
- Only 25 people took part in the poll, meaning it's not exactly a fair representation of the eUK as a whole. This isn't something I can resolve myself, despite many people doing a great job spreading the links, etc.
So, as the title suggests, two candidates came out of the poll with similar numbers of votes, whilst one came out with none. I've put the results into a pretty little graph:
Blue and Evil is just ahead in the poll, with Goku close behind. Jny123 and the... interesting CptChazbeard roughly equal with William Mariner on zero. Again, this could all be down to the poll not being completed by enough people so next time I hope to do it much further in advance with far more advertising.
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Top work Matthew, not a bad subject to tackle in your first few days \o/
I see a CP in the future
IA4TOP5
Awesome Work!
Voted
Valiant work dude o/
25 isn't a big enough sample size, you also need to select who fills it in yourself as random people who see it filling it in just leads to bias - Maths! It's my IRL job!
Clearly your job has nothing to do with surveys. You do not select the people to do it yourself, that is in fact bias. He addressed the small sample size himself.
But it's an impossiblity to select 'random people.' Even if you could, you're bound to end up with an inequality. And, as Carlini said, I addressed this in the article.
You don't select random people. You do a stratified sample of each demographic of person - say 10% of each party which you PM for their responce.
The worst possible thing you can do is just leave it in the media - then your survey is only representative of media users who went to the 2nd page of the media OR saw the chain shout during the time persiod it was up.
For example Chazbeard voters may tend to only read the top 5 and didn't see it, or jny123 saw the survey and specifically got all his supporters to fill it in.
I would think just PMing one party is much worse than leaving it in the media.
Good thing I didn't suggest that then!
What no votes for William Mariner. Preposterous
well UK you get what you vote for so when your crying about the CP in a few days just remember that you had the chance to vote in William Mariner and turned him down haha
Could well be how it turns out
Although, my tip is that Goku will win by a small amount and that Cpt Chaz will come in third ahead of jny
i can pull that back
Nice article and good attempt at an analysis for the monthly side show of the CP race. Keep up your interest and immerse yourself in the game and hopefully we have gained a valuable new active member.
CHAZ4CP
voted ,great work
this polls proves that some people will vote goku and others will vote Blue and Evil
Good job on getting spokesman for IA btw. :3.
Nice one! BAEorGoku4CP.