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Poll: Results - Two Horse Race

Day 1,930, 13:00 by Matthew.Cox

The results for the poll I (attempted) to carry out have been analysed, but before I reveal what the results are, I'd like to point out some errors that have compromised the accuracy of the poll:
- It was obvious that somebody had been putting Blue and Evil as an option repeatedly, so I took out entries that appeared within about 45 seconds of each other. This issue has been resolved and will not happen in future polls.
- Only 25 people took part in the poll, meaning it's not exactly a fair representation of the eUK as a whole. This isn't something I can resolve myself, despite many people doing a great job spreading the links, etc.
So, as the title suggests, two candidates came out of the poll with similar numbers of votes, whilst one came out with none. I've put the results into a pretty little graph:

Blue and Evil is just ahead in the poll, with Goku close behind. Jny123 and the... interesting CptChazbeard roughly equal with William Mariner on zero. Again, this could all be down to the poll not being completed by enough people so next time I hope to do it much further in advance with far more advertising.

 

Comments

Dr Hugh Jardon
Dr Hugh Jardon Day 1,930, 13:03

Top work Matthew, not a bad subject to tackle in your first few days \o/

surferdude
surferdude Day 1,930, 13:10

I see a CP in the future

Bohemond4
Bohemond4 Day 1,930, 13:17

IA4TOP5

James Scarlet
James Scarlet Day 1,930, 13:21

Awesome Work!
Voted

CptChazbeard
CptChazbeard Day 1,930, 13:22

Valiant work dude o/

Malkaiser
Malkaiser Day 1,930, 13:22

25 isn't a big enough sample size, you also need to select who fills it in yourself as random people who see it filling it in just leads to bias - Maths! It's my IRL job!

Carlini8
Carlini8 Day 1,930, 13:47

Clearly your job has nothing to do with surveys. You do not select the people to do it yourself, that is in fact bias. He addressed the small sample size himself.

Matthew.Cox
Matthew.Cox Day 1,931, 09:07

But it's an impossiblity to select 'random people.' Even if you could, you're bound to end up with an inequality. And, as Carlini said, I addressed this in the article.

Malkaiser
Malkaiser Day 1,931, 11:15

You don't select random people. You do a stratified sample of each demographic of person - say 10% of each party which you PM for their responce.

The worst possible thing you can do is just leave it in the media - then your survey is only representative of media users who went to the 2nd page of the media OR saw the chain shout during the time persiod it was up.

For example Chazbeard voters may tend to only read the top 5 and didn't see it, or jny123 saw the survey and specifically got all his supporters to fill it in.

Carlini8
Carlini8 Day 1,931, 11:53

I would think just PMing one party is much worse than leaving it in the media.

Malkaiser
Malkaiser Day 1,931, 11:58

Good thing I didn't suggest that then!

What no votes for William Mariner. Preposterous

well UK you get what you vote for so when your crying about the CP in a few days just remember that you had the chance to vote in William Mariner and turned him down haha

Jamie2721
Jamie2721 Day 1,930, 13:37

Could well be how it turns out

Although, my tip is that Goku will win by a small amount and that Cpt Chaz will come in third ahead of jny

Jny123
Jny123 Day 1,930, 13:39

i can pull that back

Carlini8
Carlini8 Day 1,930, 13:49

Nice article and good attempt at an analysis for the monthly side show of the CP race. Keep up your interest and immerse yourself in the game and hopefully we have gained a valuable new active member.

WayneKerr
WayneKerr Day 1,930, 15:16

CHAZ4CP

mick cain
mick cain Day 1,930, 16:03

voted ,great work

Alphabethis
Alphabethis Day 1,931, 06:40

this polls proves that some people will vote goku and others will vote Blue and Evil

FightAndProduce
FightAndProduce Day 1,931, 07:52

Good job on getting spokesman for IA btw. .

Jimbobfrey
Jimbobfrey Day 1,931, 08:06

Nice one! BAEorGoku4CP.

 
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