ECONOMY GONE MAD
Nikolay Dimchev Dimov
I have not published articles for a while but the panic that is raging on the weapons market provoked me to prepare short and fast analysis of the economic situation in the game.
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The data I used is from the Polish market but the conclusions derived from it are valid for all other markets that form the Global E-Repulik Economy.
Let us calculate the profits for producing all types of weapons by working as a manager:
Q1 Weapons:
Price - 3.20
Number of weapons produced – 20 weapons
Consumed resources - 200 weapon resources
Resources price – 0.41 PLN
Profit/Loss = -18 PLN[/b]
Q2 Weapons
Price - 6.27
Number of weapons produced – 20 weapons
Consumed resources - 400 weapon resources
Resources price – 0.41 PLN
Profit/Loss = -38.6 CC
Q3 Weapons
Price - 9.68
Number of weapons produced – 20 weapons
Consumed resources - 600 weapon resources
Resources price – 0.41 PLN
Profit/Loss = -52.4 CC
Q4 Weapons
Price – 13.7
Number of weapons produced – 20 weapons
Consumed resources - 800 weapon resources
Resources price – 0.41 PLN
Profit/Loss = -54 PLN
Q5 Weapons
Price – 17.0
Number of weapons produced – 20 weapons
Consumed resources - 1000 weapon resources
Resources price – 0.41 PLN
Profit/Loss = -70.0 CC
Q6 Weapons
Price – 20.5
Number of weapons produced – 20 weapons
Consumed resources - 1200 weapon resources
Resources price – 0.41 PLN
Profit/Loss = - 82 PLN
Q7 Weapons
Price – 87.37
Number of weapons produced – 20 weapons
Consumed resources - 4 000 weapon resources
Resources price – 0.41 PLN
Profit/Loss = 107.4 PLN
The calculations show that the only profitable company by working as a manager is Q7, all other options bring losses to their owner. I should also mention that with this amount of salaries Q7 becomes a loser if you hire workers. The main reason for this situation is the drastic increase of the weapon resources’ price. This is a consequence of the fact that Q7 weapon factories consume extremely large amounts of weapon resources - this increases their demand and thus their price.
I would like to bring your attention to the fact that the players who are self-sufficient on resources will also bear losses if they choose to use the weapon resources for low quality weapons production instead of selling the raw materials directly on the market. My recommendation for the short run is to stop working as a manager in weapon factories and sell the weapon resources produced directly on the market.
What should we expect in the medium term?
Most probably many players will invest in weapon resources farms due to their profitability these days. This will steadily increase the supply for weapon resources and will bring down the price of the above mentioned commodity. So, the profitability margins of the low quality weapon factories will improve. Based on these expectations my advice is not to sell or dissolve weapon factories in order to invest in weapon resources farms. If there are not significant changes introduced by Plato I also expect the profitability margins of Food factories to decrease – my opinion is that many players will turn their attention to invest there which will bring down the price of food and increase the price of the food resources.
Other implications to the economic module caused by the Q7 factories
I would like to stress that the Q7 factories will have an important influence on the average damage needed to earn a Battle Hero medal. On one hand, this will increase the cost needed in order to secure a BH medal – you have to invest in Q7 weapons which are more expensive per hit than any other weapon. On the other hand the price of the gold will be decreasing due to the large amount of gold sellers who aim to finance their investments in Weapon resource (who are currency denominated) by selling gold. These two facts will narrow the “profitability” margin for the people who are earning their income by fighting for BH. Most probably the players who used to secure their BH with rocket and food fights and were able to deliver damage on the sanitary minimum needed for BH will be dropped from the game of the “Every day Battle Hero Hunters” since this endeavor will become too expensive and the risk of losing the medal will still exist.
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Comments
отиде коня в ряката 😃😃
спокойно, като им намалеят паричките след два три дни ще се усетят и ще спрат да работят във фирмите докато ресурса не поевтинее за да станат рентабилни или пък ще започнат да пускат оферти на оръжията на по-висока цена, аз спрях да работя в оръжейните засега, даже изкупувам оръжия с надеждата да поскъпнат в скоро време
V
Number of weapons produced – 20 броя /?/
вот
vote
vote 24/ shout 743
изкупувам спрях да оферти пускат на намалеят паричките усетяти с надеждата!
Vote
я кажи само как ги изчисляваш че като смятам аз не се получава това което си получил ти
this is planned economy, so there is no such thing as market
@ bgelf
Пиши ми в скайп nikolay.dimov83
@ ganyo dyo balkanyo
True story mate 😃
Weapon raw will go down when people ealize that's nice to build a lot of weapon raw comapnies. After some days prices will go back to normal point.
From eArgentina, voted!
просто времето за построяването на толкова фабрики не е възможно да е 2-3 дни. Разликата е повече от 2 пъти между т6 и т7 в материали. Повече ми се вярва да е седмица или 2 и дори тогава под 0.35-4 няма да падне цената. Няма хората да инвестират и после да загубят инвестицията си така. (тоест може да се стигне до спекулации от по-силните икономически играчи)
/tinfoil hat off
voted
the economy went to hell
Comon, are you serious? If bot buying resources, that mean there is overproduction, PLATO use his bot to make economy, not buyer/producer. There can be 10 000 000 new wrm farms, and still, wrm price can increase 🙂
PlAto bOto set prices.
Its shall be as you are saying, I agree, but again, why does gold price drop?
@Clans
In my opinion the gold drops because there are many people who sell gold in order to produce weapon resource farms. When they stop I expect the gold to steadily go back to normal.
I don't believe BOTs are responsible for the current weapon materials price - the main reason was Plato's madness to introduce a company that consumes 3 times more resources than any other company existing before. However, you are absolutely right Plato bots are doing "monkey business" very often.
Ами купувай мини бре, кой те кара да купуваш фабрики без да имаш ресурсите за тях 🙂
дааа, мините се превърнаха в златни мини...
Q7 are not profitable any more...
v
I think that less weapons than Q7 are really unprofitable... But if you have more RAW than you need, whichever weapon will BE PROFITABLE. You can sell surplus of RAW then and you'll be happy😃
[removed]
✯ Крајно Решение [Дедо Мраз™] ✯ http://www.erepublik.com/en/article/-1-2091036/1/20
Ако разбираш Македонски , еве ти решение за кризата.
Voted & subscribed. Great article!
5/5
Very GOOD article.
vote. well I am already doing like this by article. I even sold all food resourcesand chnged in the iron🙂, because now is absurd when food row cost 0.04ct, and weapons raw 0.40ct
Quite a plausible foresight. Have my vote and sub.