eAustralian Voting Numbers and Population Outlook

Day 1,539, 19:23 Published in Australia Australia by Adam Von Templar
Introduction

It has been a while since I have done this but I think that there has been some changes in previous months that may warrant another look at total vote numbers and possible correlations to active population.

Determining a countries active population is notoriously difficult due to the data players have available and the degree of distortion due to playing patterns. In my analysis I have made several assumptions including;

1 - The proportion of voting multis in our population is relatively constant.
2 - The proportion of people voting is relatively constant.
3 - The proportion of illegal votes being removed by admins is relatively constant.

I should stress that the number of votes cannot be used as an absolute measure of active population but we can use the voting data to deduce the trends in active player population.


The Data

Below I have taken data from the erepublik voting records and plotted it vs time, I have also marked out the terms of our Prime Ministers, or what they would have been if they were not impeached.




The Analysis

As seen in the graph data senate voting numbers are incomplete for 2 months due to us not having a senate (we were wiped).

An analysis of the CP voting numbers show that the voting population fell quite drastically from Feb 2011 to Jul 2011, followed by a slight recovery in DD and Majesters terms. This was again followed by a decrease in Timeoin and lancer's terms, before plateauing under Majester with the last yesterdays election showing a resumption of a positive trend.

The senate data is harder to analyse due to missing months, it shows a higher degree of variability but in general mirrors the CP trend.


The Conclusion

As seen there was a clear fall in eAustralias voting population from early 2011 to mid 2011, since this time population on the whole has been relatively stagnant indicating there is a core group of eAustralians who continue to play the game and any losses have been replaced.

The resilience of the population in the face of some months of political turmoil and occupation is encouraging and provides a firm base on which to try and resume a positive trend.

Recent data also suggests (too early to tell) that we may be seeing a population increase, I would appreciate reader input on what theories they have.

I and a number of other citizens see the growth of our population as the biggest hope for our future, more citizens mean more taxes, more damage and more great people to meet. I implore our new CP elect (Larni) to make new player attraction and retention a central plank in her policy.


Also as a boring side note I have returned to eAustralia from eCanada and are intending to run for the senate this term with the ANP.

Cheers

AVT