What future brings...

Day 2,921, 08:12 Published in Croatia Serbia by Dima7a

Dear eWorld,

I will try to analyze what might happen in eRep in near future (in next six months to one year). This is my personal view based on current situation. I know there will be many of you not agreeing with this, especially people who see situation from a different (Asterian) point of view. On the other hand, some will maybe see this as something that is likely to happen. I will leave a lot of questions unanswered. I would like to hear your thoughts so please feel free to comment and I will make sure I'll read all the serious comments and we can further discuss it.

Sleepless night after CornelB's interview made me think about eRep after a long time. (Because of a nap I took at the afternoon, I don't want anyone to think I have sleepless nights because of eRep). His decision can be seen from many different perspectives. He said the war between Hungary and Greece is orcherstrated from Greek side and that Hungarians want to lose it. According to him that's why he refused to play their game and redirected Romanian damage against Croatia instead for Greece. Also that NE was coordinated with Serbia so their bond is even more strengthened now. Is the reason why he put NE important at all or are the consequences the only thing significant in recent events? Who will benefit from this move on a long run?

My analysis is based on an assumption that in one point of this game war between Hungary and Romania will break out. Of course Hungary is the one who will attack. Although Serbs claim that will never happen, number of votes in favor of NE in Hungarian congress keeps raising and in one point they will reach 66%. Last voting ended 20/13 and that was before two weeks. 60.5% of congressmen voted for NE.

Who keeps away Hungary and Romania from open war is Serbia, their common ally. If they enter in war anyway will any of them be able to calculate on Serbian damage? I don't think so. Every active and politically important Serb who is following the situation will stay neutral in that war will hope it's only a temporary burst of emotions which got accumulated in this cold war which lasts for few years already.

Hungary is gathering damage through MPPs that are in general against Romania. They try not to depend on Serbian damage only. Obviously, they are building a MPP list which will be able to counter Romanian MPP list. They have MPP with Poland and Macedonia for a while now, and the most recent MPP was signed with Bulgaria. I believe that next MPP they will sign is the one with Chile and that's inevitable.

On the other side there's Romania. Their recent moves and decisions resulted with a huge disappointment in Greek community. While Hungary is gathering more and more damage, Romania is losing it. If it comes to a war Serbs will stay neutral and Greeks will be less eager to fight for them because of recent events. Even tanks and important people from Slovenia stated that they are disappointed in Romania because some Romanians fought against them in RW's. I think that Romania could've even calculated on significant part of Croatian damage before what happened. CornelB even confirmed they dropped USA MPP on Serbia's request.

Romania chose single-minded proSerbia politics and ditched 7 year old friendship with Greece for that. While Serbia (Asteria) supports Hungary (not Asteria) who has few „antiAsteria“ MPPs, Romania (Asteria) is not allowed to support Greece (not Asteria) because of risk Asteria might disband because of that. Romania carries the whole weight of keeping Asteria alive while Hungary has unquestionable help from Serbia no matter which MPPs they have and no matter what they do. I will let you make a conclusion based on this.

Is this tactic smart for Romania? Who is stronger at this moment, Hungary or Romania? Who is the real loser of Hungarian attack on Greece? Who had the most benefit?

Thanks for reading,