What could happen if Sirius dies?

Day 2,393, 03:40 • Published in Belarus Spain • by Nuclear NueveOcho


At ease reader,
The fact that Sirius is almost dead is well known: Brazil left the alliance and is now MPPing the AsteriA*LETO countries, USA was kicked because they left Spain down by signing a NAP with Argentina, Spain is without congress, Iain Keers is the SG, Croatia was kicked out of India and neither UK nor Turkey are happy with the alliance. Lets see a couple of scenarios of what could happen if Sirius finally dies.

Small edit: These are only 2 scenarios of the many we can find. When I have time I'll likely write another 2 or 3.

You may find an Ukranian version written by the UKR Ministry of Information.



Scenario 1: Poland joins AsteriA, Turkey+Croatia+USA+Spain join Aurora and UK stays neutral.

This one is, in my opinion, the most likely scenario: Poland’s traditional allies are in AsteriA plus the Spoland bond is weaker than ever before, so becoming again allies of Serbia, Hungary, Slovenia, Argentina and Greece is perfectly possible. USA, Croatia and Turkey have most of their new friends (Chile, Bulgaria, FYROM and Indonesia) in Aurora, plus USA is a former CoT member; Spain has enemies in both Aurora (Chile and FYROM) and AsteriA (Serbia, Slovenia, Argentina, Portugal, France, Canada and Romania) however in this scenario AsteriA will overpower Aurora and both Chile and FYROM will need Spanish damage. UK is relatively weak country and since they lack a strong bond with neither LETO nor Aurora is not likely that they will join either alliance.

In this scenario we will see a TWO-like alliance, but with Argentina+Romania instead of Spain. What can we tell from the TWO vs CoT war, CoT ended with most countries wiped, and the remaining ones with either very few regions which lead the alliance to die in a 3-4 months period; so an AsteriA vs Aurora war could mean in short/medium place the end of Aurora.

The war fronts could be similar to the ones in TWO, Slovenia occupies Switzerland and Northern Italy, Hungary occupies Ukraine and a North Caucasus (oil region), Romania occupies Bulgaria (And Georgia?), Serbia occupies Southern Italy, Bosnia, Albania and Croatia; Poland, China Greece keep their current regions, Brazil could have all their regions+Churrua+NLA and Argentina will likely occupy Nigeria and South Africa. Since Poland doesn’t need Asgard’s regions they could release them and keep the AsteriA-Asgard cooperation.






Scenario 2: Turkey+Croatia+USA join Aurora and Spain, Poland and UK stay neutral.

Unlike in the previous scenario, Poland remains neutral. AsteriA will still overpower Aurora, but the difference won’t be really big so Spain would not join Aurora. We will find a TWO vs CoT once again, but without polish damage in “TWO” so, as I said before, even though AsteriA will overpower Aurora it won’t be an Asterian domination and Aurora could survive as an alliance.

The war may look something like this:
Romania attacks Bulgaria (or Turkey), Hungary either after Chile in France or they conquer Ukraine, Greece could go for Chile or Bulgaria (or less likely attack Turkey), Serbia will conquer Croatia, Bosnia, Southern Italy and Albania and Slovenia will likely attack Northern Italy and Switzerland.



Anyways, thanks for reading o7



By the way, I’ve added earlier today Montenegro and Australia to my Asteria*LETO polandballs album in my facebook page. Clicking “like” is free :3








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What could happen if Sirius dies?
By: NueveOcho


http://www.erepublik.com/en/article/what-could-happen-if-sirius-dies--2406888/1/20


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